058
FXUS64 KOHX 101145
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
545 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 540 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

- Look for warmer temperatures and breezy conditions today.

- There are low to medium rain chances (20-50%), mainly across
  northeast Middle Tennessee, as a cold front sweeps through the
  area today.

- Another cold front will impact the region this weekend, with low
  precipitation chances Saturday night. The coldest air of the
  season is expected Sunday night, with widespread lows in the
  teens.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday Night)
Issued at 1008 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Surface and low-level winds are increasing in advance of a strong
cold front that looks to sweep across Middle Tennessee tomorrow.
Temperatures on Wednesday will be quite pleasant in spite of the
breezy conditions, but colder air will soon return to the mid
state. The deepest moisture associated with the cold front will
remain to our north. There are low to medium rain chances across
portions of northern Middle Tennessee tomorrow as a result of the
cold front, but QPF values are anemic. There is a very low chance
of light wintry weather affecting portions of the Upper Plateau
late tomorrow, but, again, any significant impacts will likely
remain outside of the OHX county warning area.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1008 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Friday should turn out to be somewhat pleasant temperature-wise,
although another cold front will rotate through the mid state
during the afternoon, so the warmth will be short-lived; indeed,
the weekend weather is going to be frigid as an Arctic air mass
settles into the region. Although Friday`s fropa should come
through dry, we do expect low precipitation chances Saturday night
as an upper trough swings through the area. Some of the
precipitation may be frozen, but QPF values are below 0.15" most
locations, so there aren`t currently any concerns except for
frigid conditions on Sunday (highs mainly in the 30s) and Sunday
night (lows mainly in the teens). Next week, look for better rain
chances as temperatures warm up nicely.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 540 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Gusty SW winds are expected to continue across Middle Tennessee
this morning along with the threat of LLWS. Wind shear should
subside by ~15z at most terminals followed by wind shifts
associated with FROPA this afternoon.

Clouds will increase through the morning, but cigs are forecast
to remain VFR during the day. However, MVFR cigs are likely at SRB
and CSV after 00z, and there`s low confidence on overnight MVFR
cigs at BNA, MQY, and CKV at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      55  28  43  35 /  10   0   0   0
Clarksville    52  26  41  35 /  10   0   0   0
Crossville     47  24  38  27 /  30  10   0   0
Columbia       54  26  46  33 /  10   0   0   0
Cookeville     50  26  38  29 /  40  10   0  10
Jamestown      48  25  36  27 /  50  20   0  20
Lawrenceburg   54  26  45  32 /  10   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   54  26  43  32 /  10   0   0   0
Waverly        52  26  43  33 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Sizemore