380
FXUS64 KOHX 300510
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1210 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1209 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025

- No hazardous weather expected through this week with dry
  conditions and above normal temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1034 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025

There`s not much to talk about with the weather as the overall
pattern continues to be dominated by upper-level high pressure.
Off the Atlantic Coast, Tropical Storm Imelda continues to spin
with Hurricane Humberto off to its east. But their tracks continue
to steer both of them farther out into the Atlantic. There does
remain the low chance that some moisture off the coast seeps into
the far eastern Plateau Tuesday, helping to develop very isolated
showers. However, this forecast keeps those rain chances low at
only around 10-15% with the more likely outcome that there is just
more cloud cover. Otherwise, Tuesday promises to be another nice,
but still warm, day as highs for most of the area get to near 90
degrees - 10 degrees above normal for the end of September. The
above normal temperatures continue into the first day of October
with highs remaining in the 80s to near 90 with dry conditions and
mostly clear skies.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1034 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025

High pressure continues to dominate through the week, keeping our
high temperatures warm in the mid to upper-80s. There`s still no
rain in sight until perhaps the end of the weekend. A pattern
change looks to come Sunday and into early next week as a system
and moisture originating from the Gulf makes its way north. Of
course, this far out, there`s still uncertainty, but it`s enough
to introduce low (15-30%) rain chances to the forecast Sunday and
into Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1209 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025

Low chance for patchy fog over the Plateau through 13z. Otherwise
VFR conditions through the TAF period with quiet weather. Light
northerly winds tonight increase up to 10 knots after 15z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      89  64  88  62 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    90  61  89  60 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     80  56  80  55 /  10  10   0   0
Columbia       87  61  87  60 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     82  59  83  59 /  10   0   0   0
Jamestown      81  57  82  55 /  10   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   85  60  85  59 /  10   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   87  61  87  60 /  10   0   0   0
Waverly        87  61  87  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Clements
LONG TERM....Clements
AVIATION.....Mueller