Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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063
FXUS64 KOHX 271725
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1125 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1124 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

- Cooler temperatures will persist through Friday night with
  highs mainly in the 40s and lows the next two nights mainly in
  the 20s.

- High rain chances return to the forecast this weekend with
  slightly warmer temperatures. Precipitation chances will persist
  into early next week, with some possibility of light snow
  Monday night and early Tuesday.

- Temperatures throughout most of next week will remain largely
  below seasonal norms. There will be multiple nights with
  subfreezing temperatures across the bulk of Middle Tennessee.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1059 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

Strong surface high pressure centered over Canada is producing
ridging all the way down here in Middle Tennessee while an upper
ridge builds out to our west. The surface ridge looks to slide
across the region late Friday or Friday night, so we`ve got
another chilly day and two nights ahead of us with lows in the 20s
before warmer weather arrives.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1059 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

Expect slightly warmer temperatures on Saturday as return flow
begins to advect deeper moisture into Middle Tennessee. A deep low
pressure system will transition from the Great Plains to the Great
Lakes from Saturday morning to Sunday morning, and a cold front
looks to impact the local area beginning late Saturday until early
Sunday. There won`t be much of a reprieve following the expected
weekend fropa, because another strong low pressure system will
race out of the Gulf, across the Deep South and into the Carolinas
on Monday, Monday night and into Tuesday. This will bring
additional rain chances to Middle Tennessee during this period,
and with us being on the cold side of the low track, there is the
possibility that some portions of the mid state could see some
light snowfall accumulations Monday night and early Tuesday. But
uncertainty is quite high this being so far out, so the upcoming
wintry weather possibilities are something we will have to watch
closely in coming days. Otherwise, no hazardous weather is
expected for at least the next 7 days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1124 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period. Gusty west to
northwest winds of 15 to 20 knots will diminish around 00Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      48  28  46  28 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    46  25  43  26 /   0   0   0  20
Crossville     41  20  38  20 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       48  25  46  26 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     43  22  40  23 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      41  22  38  22 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   48  23  46  26 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   47  24  45  25 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        45  25  43  28 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Clements