814
FXUS64 KOHX 101148
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
648 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 646 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

- No hazardous weather is expected over the next week with near-
  zero rain chances for at least the next 10 days.

- Expect cooler temperatures the remainder of this week, then
  returning to above-normal readings next week.

- Despite the onset of another prolonged dry stretch, afternoon RH
  values should remain sufficiently high to prevent any fire
  weather concerns.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday Night)
Issued at 646 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

An inverted trough and upper low to the immediate southeast of
Middle Tennessee are keeping a few clouds in place in areas to the
south and east of Nashville this evening. But the mid state
remains rain-free and cool as a surface ridge builds to our
northwest. Temperatures the next few nights will remain pleasantly
cool, with afternoon highs staying close to seasonal normals as
we head into the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 646 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

High pressure is likely to remain the dominant weather feature
across Middle Tennessee for the foreseeable future. Temperatures
will warm slowly as we head into next week, then leveling off a
few degrees above seasonal normals. Meanwhile, the 19Z NBM output
gives us near-zero chances for at least the next 10 days. So who
knows when out next meaningful rain event might occur? Indeed,
both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks favor above-normal
temperatures and below-normal rainfall across Middle Tennessee.
However, in spite of the persistently dry conditions, afternoon RH
values should remain sufficiently high to keep us out of any fire
weather danger through the 7-day forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 646 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period with light and
variable winds. Skies will feature scattered to broken cumulus
clouds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      78  53  79  53 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    77  51  79  50 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     71  47  72  45 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       77  50  79  49 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     73  49  74  48 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      71  48  72  46 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   75  49  77  48 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   76  50  78  49 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        76  52  78  50 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....13