836
FXUS64 KOHX 131711
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1111 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1108 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

- Quiet weather through the weekend, with temperatures warming
  into the low 70s.

- Rain enters the forecast next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Friday)
Issued at 1037 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

It`s another nice day across Middle Tennessee with some high
clouds moving through the area. High pressure is centered over the
area and temperatures are expected to climb into the 60s this
afternoon. The surface high will slide east through the overnight
hours with weak southerly low level flow developing. This will
help temperatures climb a little more on Friday with highs west of
the plateau getting into the 70s. There will be some mid and high
level moisture moving through the area on Friday which means
there could be more high level cloud cover.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1037 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

The southerly flow will continue on Saturday and even increase.
Temperatures will be a couple of degrees warmer on Saturday compared
to Friday. The NBM has a high of 76 for Nashville. The record high
for Nashville on November 15 is 79 set back in 1964. It looks like
we`ll stay short of that with the NBM 90th percentile showing a
high of 78.

A weak surface front will approach the area Saturday night with some
members showing a low chance of light showers with the highest
probabilities in the northeast. While the front will only bring some
low rain chances, it will knock temperatures down about 8-10 degrees
for Sunday. The uncertainty in the long term continues with quite a
lot of spread in the models as we go into next week. It continues to
look more active with above average temperatures continuing.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1108 AM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

VFR conditions through the TAF period with quiet weather. SCT to
BKN mid to high level clouds into the evening before clearing.
Light winds under 5 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      67  43  73  55 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    67  43  73  56 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     61  38  66  47 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       67  42  74  53 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     62  41  68  50 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      60  39  66  49 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   67  42  73  50 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   66  41  73  52 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        65  45  72  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Reagan
LONG TERM....Reagan
AVIATION.....Mueller