779
FXUS63 KPAH 091900
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
100 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Wind chills in the teens tonight and Monday night.

- A chance of flurries or light snow showers tonight into
  Monday, with best chances north and east, where a dusting on
  grassy surfaces is possible.

- A warmup begins by mid week with temperatures returning to
  the 60s, and 70s forecast by the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 100 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

The heart of the giant long wave cyclone makes mid Ohio River
Valley passage late tonight into Monday. As a result, it drags
down the coldest of the cold polar air mass, plummeting
temperatures into the hard freeze 20s the next 2 nights, as
wind chills bottom out in the teens. Highs Monday struggle to
attain 40 degrees, which is a good 20+ degrees below normal. The
strong PVA rotating across the area with the mean trof axis may
even squeeze out a few flurries or light snow showers while
this occurs, with best chances north and east closest to the
center of the cyclone; would not be shocked to see a dusting on
grassy surfaces, but no significant accumulations are expected.

Surface high pressure takes over thereafter, and by the mid
week, upper height rises correspond with a nice warmup that
ensues. We`ll see 60s return to the forecast over the back half
of the work week, with 70s reemerging by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 100 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

The parent cyclone responsible for the polar plunge of air makes
its Ohio Valley passage late tonight-Monday. SCT-BKN bases will
stick around in on-off-on fashion until it clears the area.
Restricted CIGS are most likely early this afternoon, and again
during the planning phase hours of the forecast, when a few
light snow showers may accompany the Low`s passage, particularly
for those terminals closer to its track (KMVN-KEVV-KOWB).

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$