286
FXUS63 KPAH 212000
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
200 PM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A few chances of rain remain this evening but conditions will
  begin to dry out tonight.

- Dry weather is expected for the weekend before more rain
  returns Monday into Tuesday.

- Temperatures cool down for Thanksgiving next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 PM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

A surface wave moving through the central plains has lifted a
warm front north through the area today. South of this front,
conditions have dried with southerly low level flow allowing
temperatures to warm into the 60s. Near or north of the front,
temperatures remain in the 50s. Increased convergence associated
with the surface wave and increased ascent from the shortwave
aloft is expected to bring precipitation chances back this
evening and overnight.

High pressure filters in behind the exiting surface wave
bringing drier conditions to the region both Saturday and
Sunday. Temperatures will cool into the 50s for highs on
Saturday and low to mid 60s on Sunday. Cloud cover increases
Sunday night into Monday ahead of a disturbance moving through
the plains. This system will track eastward early next week
bringing increasing precipitation chances as early as Monday
afternoon into Tuesday. High temperatures warm into the mid to
upper 60s by Tuesday.

Behind this system, longwave troughing becomes established
across central portions of the country reinforcing surface high
pressure across the plains. A dry and cooler airmass arrives by
mid to late week with Thanksgiving continuing to look dry with
highs in the 40s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1124 AM CST Fri Nov 21 2025

Continued poor flight conditions are expected through much of
the TAF period. Rain is lifting north ahead of a frontal
boundary with only north and eastern terminals expecting rain
over the next few hours. We see a lull in activity this
afternoon before additional rain chances return as a surface low
moves across the region. Some limited improvement to MVFR is
possible during this lull before IFR/LIFR conditions return with
low cigs and fog. Skies begin to scatter late in the period,
mainly after 15Z. Winds will turn toward the north this evening
and continue into Saturday around 5 knots.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$