527
FXUS64 KSHV 022326
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
526 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 106 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

- Frost development returns overnight for parts of southwest
  Arkansas and northern Louisiana.

- Dry conditions will continue after today with a gradual warmup
  above normal through most of this week (some temperature
  maximums back in the 80s).

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 106 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

Peripheral flow around troughing continues with meridional flow
transitioning to quasi-zonal flow over the next 48-72 hours as the
trough shifts eastward. As surface ridging overhead shifts slowly
east overnight, reinforced radiational cooling will boost frost
development near the Ouachita River Valley, prompting another
Frost Advisory into the early morning hours on Monday. With zonal
flow continuing across the area through the rest of the forecast
period, most longwave troughs will remain north of the Four State
Region, diverting active weather to our north and keeping the area
dry. In the process, the duration of this flow will allow
prolonged southerly surface flow and moisture buildup (the 60-degree
isodrosotherm returns after the middle of the week). Long-range
guidance suggests temperature maximums above 80 degrees late next
week before a frontal boundary is expected to deliver a return to
near-normal conditions. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 524 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

For the 03/00z TAF update...VFR conditions will continue to
prevail throughout this forecast period as SKC will control our
airspace. Winds are expected to be generally out of the north
through the rest of the evening before going VRB and light for
tonight. /33/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Sun Nov 2 2025

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  43  73  47  76 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  38  69  42  73 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  37  70  42  73 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  41  72  47  75 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  36  69  41  72 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  44  74  49  75 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  41  74  45  75 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  42  75  43  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM CST Monday for ARZ051-060-061-
     072-073.

LA...Frost Advisory from 2 AM to 9 AM CST Monday for LAZ004>006-013-
     014-021.

OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...33