008
FXUS64 KSHV 061250
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
650 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New AVIATION, SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1114 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

 - Dry weather dominates: Expect significantly drier conditions
   for the entire week, with no widespread precipitation in the
   forecast for the area.

 - Temperatures will fluctuate, featuring a warm peak on Sunday, a
   cooler start to the week on Monday, followed by another warming
   trend into Thursday, and then cooler for next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1114 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

The main focus for the rest of the night revolves around the final
vestiges of a recent storm system in the form of a few lingering
showers across the eastern half of the forecast area. That being
said, radar is showing these showers, but surface observations are
not supporting that any rainfall is reaching the ground. These
minor chances for showers will continue through the first part of
the night before dry air firmly takes hold. The last thing to
watch for the night is the potential for some fog development
across much of the area with perhaps some dense fog across the
northwest portion of the area. Short- term models are hinting at
one additional chance of some isolated showers across our
southeast zones on Sunday, although confidence is on the lower end
due to some model inconsistency.

Looking ahead, the overall synoptic pattern supports a prolonged
period of dry weather. The WPC is reflecting this with no QPF
across our area for the next 7 days. We will however experience a
roller coaster of temperatures throughout the next week, although
it will be a small roller coaster as the peaks and dips won`t be
that dramatic. After a warming trend for today and Sunday, a cold
front will pass through Sunday night into Monday, ushering in some
cooler conditions for Monday. The brief chill will be short-lived
and another warming trend will commence on Tuesday, peaking on
Thursday with highs reaching the lower 70s across the southern
half of the area. Another cold front will move through the area
Thursday night into Friday which will usher in additional cooler
air next weekend. Remember the old saying, "Climate is what we
expect, weather is what we get."

The Climate Prediction Center`s 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks
align well with this dry trend. Both suggest higher probabilities
of below-normal precipitation to the region. The 6-10 day near-
normal temperatures overall, with a slightly higher chance across
our western zones. I am sure we are all wondering what the
longer-range forecast will bring 19 days from now. Whether it`s
clear skies or a full storm, I just hope everyone is focused on
getting home, and that all the decorative lights are working, just
in case we need to decode a message from the other side. /33/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

For the 06/12Z TAF update, IFR continues to creep into the
airspace from the north and west reaching KTYR/KGGG/KTXK before
sunlight begins breaking down cloud decks after 06/16Z. VFR lasts
until 07/10Z as low clouds/FG redevelop. /16/


&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 641 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  61  48  62  38 /   0   0  10   0
MLU  59  44  61  38 /   0   0  20  10
DEQ  55  38  57  28 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  58  44  60  33 /   0   0  10   0
ELD  56  40  58  34 /   0   0  10   0
TYR  63  48  61  33 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  62  46  62  33 /   0   0  10   0
LFK  65  49  69  36 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...16