518
FXUS64 KSHV 040607
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1207 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1018 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

 - Another round of cold rain will start falling this evening,
   continuing through Friday afternoon/evening.

 - Conditions stay dry for the first half of next week with
   sunshine returning to the region by Monday.

 - Warm weather may be on the horizon again beyond the middle of
   next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1018 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

A few adjustments have been made to today`s forecast: cloud cover
has been bumped up and high temps for this afternoon have been
lowered to align with recent observations and trends. The
persistant stratus deck will keep the region cooler than
previously forecasted, but other parameters are currently on
track.

As for this forecast period, low-level isentropic lift and
increased moisture advection will bring rain back to the region
beginning this evening. This will be a slow and steady rain
lasting through at least Friday afternoon for most areas, making
flooding not a concern for this event. Luckily, temperatures
tonight look to stay mostly above freezing, which limits the risk
of freezing precip. The exception to this would be the far
northern portion of McCurtain Co, OK who could see some drizzle
tonight. Confidence isn`t high enough to introduce this
possibility into the forecast, but is worth mentioning. Much of
the southeastern half of the forecast area are likely to see at
least 1" of rain in the coming days, with some areas furthest
southeast possibly seeing total rain amounts in excess of 2". High
temperatures in the afternoons will stay in the 40s and 50s
through Friday thanks to the rain.

Rain should be completely clear of the Ark-La-Tx by Saturday
morning, with clouds lingering until Sunday. Calm northwesterly
flow aloft should keep next week dry with near-normal
temperatures in the 50s and 60s. Overnight lows for areas north of
I-20 could creep into the mid to upper 20s without the insulating
cloud cover. However, CPC is hinting at another return to above-
average temps and below- average precip for the 8-14 day period.

57

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1204 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

For the 04/06z TAF period...Reduced flight categories remain,
as light rain/drizzle continue push into the region. Could see
some thunder at KLFK and possible up to our I-20 corridor sites
overnight. The rain may let up after daybreak, but some light
drizzle will remain, before another push of rain moves into the
region. We should see the back edge of the precipitation move into
region by the end of the TAF period. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1117 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  36  49  41  61 /  20  10  20  10
MLU  36  47  40  58 /  50  10  20  20
DEQ  28  49  32  55 /  10   0   0   0
TXK  32  48  38  57 /  10   0  10  10
ELD  29  46  33  54 /  20   0  10  10
TYR  35  51  41  63 /  10  10  10   0
GGG  33  51  39  62 /  10  10  20  10
LFK  37  51  41  64 /  20  20  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...20