Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 281142
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
542 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2014

.AVIATION...
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS TODAY WHICH
WILL ALLOW FOR 10-15KTS SUSTAINED WINDS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...IN
THIS REGION. CU FIELD WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH CEILINGS LOWERING AT OR BELOW 3K FT AROUND
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. /35/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 427 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SFC HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED JUST EAST OF THE REGION THIS MORNING AS
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS HAVE CREATED IDEAL RADIATIONAL
COOLING WITH TEMPERATURES RUNNING IN THE 30S AT MOST LOCATIONS AS
OF 10Z...EVEN SOME SUB-FREEZING READINGS IN SE OK/SW AR/NCNTRL LA.
SOUTH WINDS INCREASING LATER TODAY WILL ALLOW FOR A MODEST WARM-UP
AS HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH INTO THE 60S AREA WIDE WITH THE
RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS. WARMER AND MOIST SOUTH FLOW OVER THE
RELATIVELY COOLER SFC MAY LEAD TO SOME PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING WITH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VSBYS IN SOME AREAS.

WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGHS JUMP INTO
THE 70S ON BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH INCREASINGLY DEEPER S/SW
FLOW FROM THE GULF. THIS RICH MOISTURE POOL WILL BE SETTING UP
JUST AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE REGION ON
MONDAY...INCREASING THE LIKELIHOOD OF SHWRS BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY
OVER OUR FAR NRN CWA AND THEN SPREADING SOUTH WITH THE FRONT ON
MONDAY...STILL ONLY LOOKING AT LOW TO MID CHANCE POPS ATTM AS
FORCING AND UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS WILL BE WEAK WITH THE BNDRY.

THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY UNTIL
LATE NEXT WEEK WHEN ANOTHER FRONT MAKES ITS WAY INTO THE REGION
BUT HAVE ONLY THROWN IN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR NOW WITH STILL A
BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH FRONTAL TRACK AND TIMING. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  64  52  74  59  76 /   0   0  10  10  10
MLU  61  49  71  57  75 /   0   0  10  10  10
DEQ  62  46  72  54  74 /   0   0  10  10  20
TXK  61  51  73  58  75 /   0   0  10  10  10
ELD  60  49  71  58  74 /   0   0  10  10  10
TYR  66  56  75  61  77 /   0   0  10  10  10
GGG  65  54  75  59  77 /   0   0  10  10  10
LFK  68  55  76  60  77 /   0   0  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

99/99




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