Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 270414
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1114 PM CDT TUE JUL 26 2016

.AVIATION...
Very difficult taf cycle through the next 24 hours with scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms expected to effect a portion
of the terminal airspace due in part to an upper level disturbance
currently spinning across SE LA. Moisture has really increased
from the south and east late this evening and we are even seeing a
few elevated echoes across NE LA east of the MLU terminal attm.
Expecting showers and thunderstorms to increase quickly across S
AR and NE LA in the early to mid morning hours with the best
coverage expected in the late morning through afternoon hours.
Have hit the ELD/MLU terminals hard with this wording through much
of the day as a result. Further to the west...expecting convection
to be more scattered in nature and this includes the
TXK/SHV/ELD/GGG and TYR terminals. Went with VCTS across most of
these terminal locations beginning near the noon hour and
continuing throughout the day. Convection could continue into the
evening hours on Wed as well due to the proximity of the upper
level trough and the myriad of boundaries that will likely be
present.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1005 PM CDT TUE JUL 26 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Upper level disturbance continues to churn westward from the Gulf
coast into the eastern half of our region, replacing the dry air
aloft with mid and upper level moisture. Convection has waned over
the past few hours, but a few showers continue across Toledo Bend
country with additional activity possible overnight so have kept
slight chance pops going. The only changes made were to sky cover
and minor edits will likely not change zone wording. Overall, the
forecast is in good shape for tonight. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  76  92  75  89 /  20  50  30  50
MLU  75  88  75  88 /  20  50  30  50
DEQ  74  95  74  91 /  20  50  30  50
TXK  75  92  75  90 /  20  50  30  50
ELD  75  88  74  88 /  20  50  30  50
TYR  75  94  76  94 /  20  40  20  50
GGG  75  93  76  92 /  20  50  20  50
LFK  75  90  76  93 /  20  50  30  50

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

19/13


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