Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 051205 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
705 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2015

.AVIATION...
WHILE BRIEF IFR/LOW MVFR CIGS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDMORNING
OVER PORTIONS OF DEEP E TX/WCNTRL LA...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD
CONTINUE AREAWIDE THROUGH THE 05/12Z TAF PERIOD. SATELLITE IMAGERY
REVEALS SCT AREAS OF 11-12KFT CIGS DEVELOPING OVER PORTIONS OF NE
TX/SW AR/N LA...WHICH SHOULD AGAIN THIN OUT LATER THIS
MORNING/MIDDAY. OTHERWISE...A SCT CU FIELD SHOULD AGAIN DEVELOP
OVER E TX/NCNTRL LA BY MIDMORNING...AND ELSEWHERE BY MIDDAY.
ISOLATED CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING OVER
THE REGION...ALTHOUGH LOW CONFIDENCE PRECLUDES MENTION IN THE TAFS
ATTM. THE CU FIELD SHOULD DIMINISH BY LATE EVENING...WITH AREAS OF
AC/CIRRUS LINGERING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. LT/VRB WINDS THIS
MORNING WILL BECOME S 4-7KTS THIS AFTERNOON. LT/VRB WINDS ARE
EXPECTED AFTER 00Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 437 AM CDT SAT SEP 5 2015/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ANCHORED ACROSS TX CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE
REGION AND WILL KEEP US HOT AND MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB BACK INTO THE MID AND UPPER
90S EACH AFTERNOON WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHWRS AND TSTMS.
THESE HOT TEMPERATURES WILL POSE POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS CONDITIONS
WITH ANY PROLONGED OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SO TAKE THE PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT YOURSELF FROM THE HEAT THIS LABOR DAY WEEKEND.

THIS PATTERN WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK
WITH SIMILAR DAILY TEMPERATURE TRENDS AND VERY SLIM RAIN CHANCES.
A WEAK FRONT WILL STRUGGLE TO MOVE SOUTH INTO OUR REGION TOWARD
MID WEEK. HOWEVER...A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY SHIFT OUT
OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THIS
FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PROGRESS SEWRD INTO OUR REGION LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY...INCREASING THE CHANCE OF SHWRS AND TSTMS THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT AND USHERING IN SOME FALL-LIKE AIR JUST IN TIME FOR
THE WEEKEND. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  96  75  96  75 /  20  20  20  20
MLU  97  73  97  73 /  20  20  20  20
DEQ  95  72  95  72 /  20  10  20  10
TXK  95  73  96  74 /  20  20  20  10
ELD  96  72  96  72 /  20  20  20  10
TYR  94  75  96  75 /  20  20  20  20
GGG  95  75  95  75 /  20  20  20  20
LFK  95  74  95  74 /  20  20  20  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15


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