206
FXUS64 KSJT 270348
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
948 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Pleasant weather is expected Thanksgiving Day with highs in
   the upper 50s to mid 60s.

-  Low chances of showers and thunderstorms return Friday into
   Saturday.

-  Much colder temperatures and a low chance of light wintry mix
   in the Big Country early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 1137 AM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

Cooler and slightly below normal temperatures are expected to
persist through this evening and into Thanksgiving morning in the
wake of a cold front tracking through the region today. Overnight
lows are expected to fall into the mid to upper 30s, with some of
the usual low-lying areas and northern portions of the Big Country
seeing the coolest overnight lows tonight. Afternoon high
temperatures tomorrow will struggle to make it into the upper 50s
to mid 60s, which gets us closer to normal high temperatures for
this time of year (mid 60s). Winds are expected to be light and
easterly this evening and gradually shifting to the south to
southeast by Thursday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 128 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

The main concern for the long term will be the cold front this
weekend, along with precipitation chances ahead of an behind the
front.

On Friday as the firs of two upper level troughs approaches the
area from the northwest, moisture will be advected into the area
from the Gulf. South to southeasterly low level flow will persist
from Friday through Saturday morning, pushing dewpoint values into
the 60s. The increase in moisture, along with a weak shortwave
moving through ahead of the main trough will bring the area a low
(20% to 30%) chance for showers and a few thunderstorms Friday
afternoon into Saturday evening. The main upper level trough will
move through the central plains during the day on Saturday, while
pushing a cold front through. Winds will turn to the north at 15
to 25 mph with higher gusts behind the front on Saturday.

The next upper level trough will approach from the northwest
Sunday, moving into the central plains by Monday afternoon or
evening, depending on the model. The operational ECMWF shows a
more progressive/faster evolution of the trough than the GFS. In
either case, the amount of precipitation has decreased. This is
fairly reasonable as the better lift with the system will be north
of our area, and the air mass behind this front will be much
drier. Will still carry low end Slight Chance (~20%) PoPs for the
area. Temperatures will drop into the mid/upper 20s Sunday night
and Monday night, so some of the precipitation could be in the
form of a wintry mix. However, any precip that does fall will be
quite light with very little accumulation. Highs Sunday and Monday
will be in the 40s in most locations.

Temperatures will warm back up into the 50s and 60s Tuesday and
Wednesday with dry weather.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 922 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

Some mid clouds in the 4000-5000ft range continue to stream north
into the southern and eastern terminals late this evening and
will likely to continue through the overnight hours. Conditions
likely to stay VFR however. Winds will remain light and variable
overnight before becoming light south or southeast on Thanksgiving
Day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     40  65  45  61 /   0   0   0  30
San Angelo  39  66  46  62 /   0   0   0  30
Junction    38  67  46  64 /   0   0   0  30
Brownwood   37  63  41  61 /   0   0   0  20
Sweetwater  39  64  46  61 /   0   0   0  30
Ozona       41  67  48  60 /   0   0   0  30
Brady       39  62  46  61 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...07