Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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854
FXUS64 KSJT 152247
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
547 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Drought conditions will continue to worsen as well above normal
  temperatures combine with persistent dry conditions.

- Elevated fire weather conditions this weekend.

- Low (<20%) chances for showers and thunderstorms this weekend
  mainly across a small area of the Northern Big Country.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 116 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Warm and dry conditions will continue through the short term. The
upper level ridge currently over the area will begin shifting
east tomorrow as the upper level trough over the West Coast moves
towards central CONUS tomorrow. Surface low pressure will develop
ahead of the trough, tightening our pressure gradient and
increasing winds. Winds will remain out of the south/southeast
tomorrow with sustained speeds around 10 to 20 mph in the
afternoon. Temperatures will remain around 5 to 10 degrees above
normal.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 112 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

A strong upper level ridge will dominate the pattern during much of
the long term. Expect above normal temperatures and mainly dry
weather. the warmest day will be next Monday with highs in the upper
80s to near 95. Otherwise, highs will be in the 80s to lower 90s for
many more days. A few thunderstorms are possible late Friday
afternoon and night across much of the area as a cold front moves
through. Expect elevated fire weather conditions Saturday and
Sunday across much of the area due to gusty winds and dry fuels.
Please follow fire safety precautions. This hot and dry pattern
will probably continue for the next 10 days with drought
conditions becoming worse.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 536 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

VFR next 24 hours. Southeast winds less than 10 KTS expected
overnight into Thursday morning, then south winds with gusts 16 to
18 KTS late Thursday morning into afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     61  88  64  90 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  59  87  61  89 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    58  88  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   56  86  60  88 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  62  88  64  90 /   0   0   0  10
Ozona       59  85  62  86 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       58  85  62  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...AP
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...04