


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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854 FXUS64 KSJT 152247 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 547 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Drought conditions will continue to worsen as well above normal temperatures combine with persistent dry conditions. - Elevated fire weather conditions this weekend. - Low (<20%) chances for showers and thunderstorms this weekend mainly across a small area of the Northern Big Country. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Thursday) Issued at 116 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025 Warm and dry conditions will continue through the short term. The upper level ridge currently over the area will begin shifting east tomorrow as the upper level trough over the West Coast moves towards central CONUS tomorrow. Surface low pressure will develop ahead of the trough, tightening our pressure gradient and increasing winds. Winds will remain out of the south/southeast tomorrow with sustained speeds around 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Temperatures will remain around 5 to 10 degrees above normal. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 112 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025 A strong upper level ridge will dominate the pattern during much of the long term. Expect above normal temperatures and mainly dry weather. the warmest day will be next Monday with highs in the upper 80s to near 95. Otherwise, highs will be in the 80s to lower 90s for many more days. A few thunderstorms are possible late Friday afternoon and night across much of the area as a cold front moves through. Expect elevated fire weather conditions Saturday and Sunday across much of the area due to gusty winds and dry fuels. Please follow fire safety precautions. This hot and dry pattern will probably continue for the next 10 days with drought conditions becoming worse. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 536 PM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025 VFR next 24 hours. Southeast winds less than 10 KTS expected overnight into Thursday morning, then south winds with gusts 16 to 18 KTS late Thursday morning into afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 61 88 64 90 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 59 87 61 89 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 58 88 60 89 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 56 86 60 88 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 62 88 64 90 / 0 0 0 10 Ozona 59 85 62 86 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 58 85 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...AP LONG TERM....21 AVIATION...04