Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
990 FXUS62 KTBW 161128 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 628 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - There is a moderate chance of patchy fog, especially along the Nature Coast. - Sunny, dry, and gradually warming conditions continue over the weekend and into next week. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 623 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period with light winds becoming southwest and then northwest this afternoon. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 106 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 Pleasant weather continues today brought to you by upper level ridging combined with a broad surface high over the area. Warm, dry conditions will continue today with a light and variable breeze. This forecast remains on repeat for the next couple of days. A frontal system will move over the area Monday through Tuesday. However, this will bring minimal changes to the forecast. The only impact will be slightly more low-level moisture which could lead to early morning patchy fog in areas. Temperatures will also continue to increase eat day, with high temperatures warming to above normal for this time of year. Heading into next weekend, models are hinting at a slightly stronger frontal system moving towards the area which could possibly bring a few showers. However, confidence at this time is still low, as it`s a week out. && .MARINE... Issued at 106 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 Pleasant boating conditions continue today as winds remain light and variable throughout the morning before slightly increasing and turning on shore with the sea breeze development this afternoon. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 106 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 Fire weather concerns remain minimal as RH remain above critical values and wind speeds remain below criteria. Some early morning patchy fog could develop and linger around till about mid morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 79 64 81 63 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 80 61 82 62 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 80 59 82 60 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 77 63 79 61 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 78 57 80 54 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 77 65 78 64 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$