Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 041948
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
248 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
LOCAL RADARS INDICATE SCATTERED...GENERALLY WEAK CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ACROSS
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT
ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY LATER TONIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS...IN AN
AREA AFFECTED BY SHORT WAVE ENERGY IN NORTHWEST FLOW.

A STRONGER SHORT WAVE WILL AFFECT NORTHERN SECTIONS LATE
WEDNESDAY. TOGETHER WITH AN ASSOCIATED LOW LEVEL JET RESPONSE...
WILL PROMOTE ADDTIONAL CONVECTION...SOME PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DIMINISH LATE IN THE PERIOD...WITH
TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS.

&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS DOMINATED THE
WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE LAST SEVERAL WEEKS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TO
THE WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE EXTENDED TERM. THE HIGH
WILL SHIFT A BIT WESTWARD DURING THE PERIOD...ALLOWING MORE OF A
NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP.

AT THE SURFACE IT APPEARS THAT A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY DROP
DOWN INO THE AREA IN THE MONDAY TO TUESDAY TIME FRAME...BRINGING
WITH IT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE FRONT MAY BRING
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER BEHIND IT...BUT THE MAIN IMPACT
WILL NOT OCCUR UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     96  72  90  72 /  20  50  50  60
CAMDEN AR        100  76  97  78 /  20  10  20  20
HARRISON AR       93  70  88  71 /  30  50  60  50
HOT SPRINGS AR    98  75  95  76 /  20  20  30  30
LITTLE ROCK   AR  99  75  95  76 /  20  20  30  30
MONTICELLO AR     99  76  97  78 /  20  20  20  20
MOUNT IDA AR      97  74  94  75 /  20  20  30  30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  93  71  88  71 /  20  50  60  60
NEWPORT AR        97  74  90  74 /  20  40  50  60
PINE BLUFF AR     99  75  95  77 /  20  20  30  30
RUSSELLVILLE AR   95  74  94  74 /  20  30  40  40
SEARCY AR         98  74  93  74 /  20  40  40  50
STUTTGART AR      99  76  95  76 /  20  20  30  30
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55 / LONG TERM...53



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