Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 240610 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
110 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED FOR THE 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

FOG WILL LIKELY BE AN ISSUE AT MANY SITES THROUGH DAYBREAK...WITH
SOME AREAS ALREADY SHOWING VSBY BELOW 1SM AS OF 06Z. HAVE AT LEAST
SOME 3SM IN AT ALL SITES...WITH SOME 1/2SM AND LIFR CIGS MENTIONED
AT SITES ALREADY SHOWING SIGNS OF BECOMING ENTRENCHED IN FOG.
OTHERWISE...FOG WILL BURN OFF WITHIN A COUPLE HOURS OF SUNRISE AND
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AFTERWARD FOR ALL TERMINALS. WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO THE EAST DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1010 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

UPDATE...

JUST A FEW RETURNS ON RADAR NOTED ACRS THE SRN PART OF THE FA ATTM...
WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES NOTED ELSEWHERE. CDFNT WL SLOLY
DRIFT SWD THRU MUCH OF THE FA OVERNIGHT AND INTO THU MRNG. ADDED
PTCHY FOG TO THE FCST THRU THE EARLY MRNG HRS. SLGT ADJUSTMENTS TO
OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS. HRLY TEMPS WERE
UPDATED ACCORDINGLY TO REFLECT THESE CHGS. REST OF FCST IN GOOD
SHAPE. ALL UPDATES HAVE BEEN SENT. /44/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 228 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WITH A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD MOVE SLOWLY AND PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN AND UP TO 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL. EXPECT PRECIPITATION
TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

DRIER AIR WILL BE USHERED INTO THE STATE BEHIND THE FRONT. NO RAIN
IS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTH. THURSDAY WILL BE A
BIT COOLER...THEN A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS BRIEFLY.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SUNDAYS COLD FRONT IS LOOKING EVEN LESS IMPRESSIVE...QPF WISE...THAN
IT DID THIS TIME YESTERDAY AND LOWERED POPS ACCORDINGLY. HOWEVER...
NORTHWEST FLOW FOLLOWING FROPA WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER COOL DOWN TO
LINGER THROUGH THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF THE WORK WEEK. ADDED SOME
SLIGHT POPS TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD AS THE UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN AMPLIFIES AND THE NEXT SYSTEM BUILDS OVER THE OK/TX
PANHANDLES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     85  60  90  70 /  10   0  10  10
CAMDEN AR         91  68  94  72 /  10   0  10  10
HARRISON AR       86  63  91  71 /  10   0  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    90  67  93  71 /  10   0  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  88  62  92  71 /  10   0  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     90  66  94  70 /  10   0  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      90  66  93  72 /  10   0  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  87  61  91  70 /  10   0  10  10
NEWPORT AR        84  59  90  70 /  10   0  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     85  64  93  71 /  10   0  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   91  66  92  71 /  10   0  10  10
SEARCY AR         85  62  91  70 /  10   0  10  10
STUTTGART AR      83  61  92  71 /  10   0  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...64




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