Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
FXUS62 KTAE 270022
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
822 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2016
.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
Isolated to scattered showers will be possible until around
midnight mainly along and west of a line from near Albany to
Apalachicola. lows will be in the mid 70s.
.AVIATION [Through 00Z Thursday]...
Some of our local hi-res guidance suggests that IFR visibilities
may be possible around daybreak just northwest of the DHN and
ABY terminals. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail with light
or calm winds.
.PREV DISCUSSION [327 PM EDT]...
.SHORT TERM [Wednesday Through Thursday Night]...
Model guidance continues to be in good agreement that the mid level
ridge off the Florida East Coast will build westward over the next
couple of days, resulting in a significant decrease in rain chances
through the period. With ridging building over the region and lower
afternoon rain chances, expect afternoon highs to be on the
increase. Inland areas should easily reach the upper 90s with a few
spots getting to 100 by Thursday. Heat indices should stay just
under advisory criteria with max heat indices both Wednesday and
Thursday in the 105 to 107 degree range.
.LONG TERM [Friday Through Tuesday]...
The ridging over North Florida will begin to weaken and shift
eastward back into the Atlantic by Saturday in response to a weak
trough moving through the Ohio River Valley. This will in turn allow
for gradually increasing rain chances through the weekend and
slightly cooler temperatures. By the end of the period, the GFS (and
to a lesser extent in the Euro) shows a weak frontal boundary moving
into our far northern counties on Tuesday. Though no noticeable
change in airmass would be expected with this boundary, should it
make it, it would help get the region back to a more active
Moderate Winds and seas will gradually decrease back to typical
low summertime levels by Wednesday as high pressure builds across
Northern Florida with winds less than 10 knots and seas 2 feet or
Aside from high dispersion values across inland portions of the Tri-
state region on Wednesday, there are no other fire weather concerns
for the next several days.
With a drier pattern expected for the next few days, there are no
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 75 96 75 97 75 / 10 20 0 20 0
Panama City 79 91 79 90 80 / 20 10 0 20 10
Dothan 75 94 73 95 74 / 30 30 0 10 10
Albany 74 97 74 97 74 / 20 20 10 10 10
Valdosta 74 97 73 97 74 / 10 20 10 10 0
Cross City 74 96 74 96 75 / 10 20 10 20 10
Apalachicola 76 91 78 90 79 / 10 10 0 20 10