Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL
FXUS62 KMFL 290747
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
347 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016
Typical summer will dominate the week, with warm temperatures and
diurnal showers and thunderstorms focusing over interior sections
of the state.
.SHORT TERM /Sunday through Tuesday/...
Quiet conditions have prevailed overnight, with modest drainage
flow and only a few clouds. Dry conditions will most likely
prevail through the morning, before sea-breeze boundaries develop
and push inland. Showers and thunderstorms, scattered in nature,
are expected to form along these boundaries, mostly likely over or
inland of the western suburbs of the east coast metropolitan areas
(and eastern sections of Naples metropolitan area). Similar
evolution of convection is expected Memorial Day, with perhaps a
slight reduction in overall coverage of convection. By Tuesday,
slightly drier air moves in, and afternoon rain chances diminish
Temperatures through early week will remain near or just slightly
above average. Maxima should be upper 80s to near 90 degrees over
all metropolitan areas, with some low 90s over interior sections
of South Florida. Minima will be in the 70s.
Moderate risk of rip currents will prevail on Palm Beach County
beaches today due to easterly wind. Lighter wind on Memorial Day
may reduce this threat.
.LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
Little in the way of synoptic features to change overall weather
pattern or focus rain/thunderstorm chances through the week. A
weak deep-layer trough over the southeastern United States will
support diurnal convection over the interior, with only low
chances along the coasts through Thursday. Moisture will gradually
increase through the period, leading to better rain chances at
VFR will prevail through the late morning hours with variable
winds shifting onshore in the afternoon as sea breezes develop.
TAFS will keep carrying VCSH and periods of MVFR cigs for this
afternoon, but upcoming updates may include mention of VCTS as
conditions will be similar to yesterday afternoon. VFR should then
prevail at all terminals this evening.
Winds and seas will generally remain well below hazardous levels
through the week. Although a few afternoon thunderstorms cant be
ruled out along the immediate Gulf and Atlantic coasts, Lake
Okeechobee will have the greatest risk for hazardous thunderstorms
early this week.
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach 87 73 87 73 / 20 10 10 10
Fort Lauderdale 87 75 88 75 / 10 20 20 10
Miami 89 76 89 75 / 20 10 30 10
Naples 88 72 88 72 / 20 10 30 10