Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS62 KMFL 290044
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
844 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2014

.UPDATE...
ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS FROM EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON HAVE NOW
DIMINISHED ACROSS THE AREA GIVING WAY TO A PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY
CLEAR SKY. THEREFORE UPDATED POP AND WEATHER GRIDS TO KEEP THE
AREA DRY THROUGH 06Z. SHORT RANGE MODELS DO INDICATE A FEW
SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA WATERS TOWARD DAYBREAK TOMORROW
SO KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GULF
AND ATLANTIC WATERS AFTER 06Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 804 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2014/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE BULK OF THE
PERIOD WITH LIGHT WSW FLOW. 5-10 KT SE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE
EAST COAST SEA BREEZE WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING PERIODS FOR THE EAST COAST TERMINALS (SE WINDS
BEGINNING AROUND 20Z FOR THE TERMINALS SOUTH OF PBI). THE LATEST
SHORT-RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES A SLIGHT INCREASE IN DEEP
LAYER MOISTURE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY LATER
TUESDAY...MAINLY AROUND THE LAKE AND PALM BEACH REGION. THIS
INCREASE IN MOISTURE COULD LEAD TO MORE SHOWER/TSTM COVERAGE
THROUGH THE LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON HOURS AROUND THE PBI TERMINAL
AND POSSIBLY AS FAR SOUTH AS FLL. 85/AG

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 308 PM EDT MON JUL 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
DRY AND HOT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED TO LOW END SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE STILL
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE LAKE REGION/PALM BEACH COUNTY OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. A COUPLE SHOWERS OR STORMS COULD ALSO GET INTO
BROWARD OR MIAMI-DADE COUNTY NEAR/AFTER 00Z.

THE UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH INTO THE DEEP SOUTH AND EXTREME WESTERN
ATLANTIC LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
INTO NORTH FLORIDA...AND MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PUSH
INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE LAKE REGION. SO ISOLATED/SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING FROM NAPLES
NORTHWARD AND EAST TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE. WESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE
AND IT WILL BE ANOTHER HOT DAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID
90S FOR THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS. HEAT INDICES ARE FORECAST TO
BE AROUND 100-108 DEGREES AGAIN TUESDAY. THE PREFRONTAL TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE LAKE REGION...AND MOISTURE IS FORECAST
TO INCREASE...ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THE
WESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP THE SEA BREEZE PINNED TO THE EAST
COAST. THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS WILL BE NEAR THE DEEPER MOISTURE
AND THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES...WHICH WILL BE CENTRAL/EASTERN
PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTIES.

THE DEEPER MOISTURE WILL MOVE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA ON
WEDNESDAY...AND SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE
FORECAST THROUGHOUT THE DAY. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE
CLOSER TO NORMAL AS WELL...MAINLY DUE TO THE EXPECTED SHOWERS AND
STORMS. THE BOUNDARY COULD LINGER ACROSS THE REGION INTO THURSDAY
AND THE MOISTURE COULD LINGER EVEN LONGER.

MARINE...
MAINLY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE PART OF
THE WEEK WITH GUIDANCE INDICATING WINDS GENERALLY AROUND 10 KNOTS
BUT GUIDANCE ALSO INDICATES THERE COULD BE PERIODS WHERE WINDS
ARE IN THE 10 TO 15 KNOT RANGE. THROUGH MID WEEK ATLANTIC SEAS ARE
FORECAST TO BE 2 FEET OR LESS WITH THE OFF SHORE GULF WATERS
FORECAST TO HAVE SEAS AROUND 3 FEET POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  77  93  77  90 /  10  40  20  60
FORT LAUDERDALE  80  93  79  90 /  10  40  20  60
MIAMI            80  94  79  89 /  10  30  20  60
NAPLES           80  90  79  90 /  10  20  50  60

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...10/CD
AVIATION...85/AG


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.