Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
FXUS62 KMFL 290747

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
347 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

Typical summer will dominate the week, with warm temperatures and
diurnal showers and thunderstorms focusing over interior sections
of the state.


.SHORT TERM /Sunday through Tuesday/...
Quiet conditions have prevailed overnight, with modest drainage
flow and only a few clouds. Dry conditions will most likely
prevail through the morning, before sea-breeze boundaries develop
and push inland. Showers and thunderstorms, scattered in nature,
are expected to form along these boundaries, mostly likely over or
inland of the western suburbs of the east coast metropolitan areas
(and eastern sections of Naples metropolitan area). Similar
evolution of convection is expected Memorial Day, with perhaps a
slight reduction in overall coverage of convection. By Tuesday,
slightly drier air moves in, and afternoon rain chances diminish

Temperatures through early week will remain near or just slightly
above average. Maxima should be upper 80s to near 90 degrees over
all metropolitan areas, with some low 90s over interior sections
of South Florida.  Minima will be in the 70s.

Moderate risk of rip currents will prevail on Palm Beach County
beaches today due to easterly wind. Lighter wind on Memorial Day
may reduce this threat.

.LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
Little in the way of synoptic features to change overall weather
pattern or focus rain/thunderstorm chances through the week. A
weak deep-layer trough over the southeastern United States will
support diurnal convection over the interior, with only low
chances along the coasts through Thursday. Moisture will gradually
increase through the period, leading to better rain chances at
week`s end.


VFR will prevail through the late morning hours with variable
winds shifting onshore in the afternoon as sea breezes develop.
TAFS will keep carrying VCSH and periods of MVFR cigs for this
afternoon, but upcoming updates may include mention of VCTS as
conditions will be similar to yesterday afternoon. VFR should then
prevail at all terminals this evening.


Winds and seas will generally remain well below hazardous levels
through the week. Although a few afternoon thunderstorms cant be
ruled out along the immediate Gulf and Atlantic coasts, Lake
Okeechobee will have the greatest risk for hazardous thunderstorms
early this week.


West Palm Beach  87  73  87  73 /  20  10  10  10
Fort Lauderdale  87  75  88  75 /  10  20  20  10
Miami            89  76  89  75 /  20  10  30  10
Naples           88  72  88  72 /  20  10  30  10


.MFL Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


AVIATION...17/AR is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.