Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 212007
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
207 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures were 15-20 degrees above normal this afternoon with
increasingly gusty south winds bringing the warmth along with
increasing humidity. South winds will stay gusty through the night
with high pressure off the southeast coast and low pressure over
the plains. This will keep temps warm, with most places only
falling to the lower 50s.

By daybreak Monday, the low pressure system will push a cold
front eastward to the Ms Valley. A band of showers ahead of the
front will be entering our western counties. The cold front and
band of showers will then move eastward across the Mid State
through the day. Winds will be quite gusty, around 35 mph at
times. We will not issue a wind advisory at this time, but it
could be considered with tomorrow morning`s forecast. Rainfall
amounts are expected to range from one quarter to one half inch.
There could be some rumbles of thunder as well.

Colder air will move in for Monday night and Tuesday, but nothing
like the recent cold outbreaks. There will be some wrap around
cloudiness Tuesday, and perhaps just enough moisture for some very
light rain/snow showers for the Upper Cumberland. Highs should
reach normal levels, in the 40s. After Tuesday, a dry warming
trend will occur through Friday, with highs reaching the 50s by
Friday.

The next system will bring rainy conditions next Saturday and
Sunday, followed by another typical cold front.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR conditions are expected at all airports today with VCSH
affecting BNA/MQY this afternoon. Late in the TAF period, a line
of SHRA will bring MVFR cigs/vis to CKV. Otherwise, gusty south to
southwest winds up to 20 knots are anticipated through the TAF
period.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      51  64  38  46  28 /  10  90  20  10   0
Clarksville    52  62  36  44  27 /  20  90  10  10   0
Crossville     47  60  36  42  26 /  10  90  60  20  10
Columbia       51  64  36  46  28 /  10  90  10  10   0
Lawrenceburg   50  64  36  47  28 /  10  80  20  10   0
Waverly        52  63  36  44  28 /  20  90  10  10   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......13
AVIATION........Shamburger



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