Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 301813
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1213 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
FOR THE 30/18Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS TAF CYCLE
WITH MAINLY DENSE CIRRUS THIS AFTERNOON AND SFC WINDS FROM THE
E/NE DROPPING TO AROUND 10 KTS OR LESS. MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
BEGIN CREEPING EWRD INTO THE REGION LATER THIS EVENING AND CIGS
WILL LOWER TO BETWEEN 10-15KFT. LOW CLOUDS WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL
LATER IN THE DAY ON SATURDAY AS THE UPPER TROF NOW OVER SRN CA
AND THE BAJA PENINSULA TRANSITIONS EAST WITH PACIFIC MOISTURE
STREAMING ACROSS THE REGION. RAIN IS ALSO EXPECTED TO HOLD OFF
UNTIL AFTER THIS TAF PERIOD ENDS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SFC WINDS
WILL BECOME MORE E/SE WITH TIME WITH SPEEDS GENERALLY IN THE RANGE
FROM 5-10 KTS...WITH WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SFC AND HIGHER ALOFT
BECOMING MORE S/SW ON SATURDAY WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER TROF. /19/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1101 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2015/

DISCUSSION...
THE MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXTENSIVE CIRRUS
SHIELD OVERHEAD...ORIGINATING FROM THE RICH PACIFIC ELEVATED
MOISTURE FEED AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPED SRN CA/NRN BAJA CLOSED LOW.
VISIBLE OBSERVATIONS FROM THE OFFICE PARKING LOT CONFIRM THAT THE
CIRRUS IS THIN ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR PEEKS OF THE SUNSHINE...BUT
ENOUGH TO COVER/OBSCURE MUCH OF THE SKY...AND FOR THAT REASON...HAVE
UPDATED THE FORECAST TO REFLECT MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS. EVEN
WITH THE EXTENSIVE CIRRUS SHIELD IN PLACE...AFTERNOON TEMPS SHOULD
STILL WARM INTO THE MID TO UPPER 50S AREAWIDE...WHICH IS ABOUT 20
DEGREES COOLER THAN WHAT WAS RECORDED THURSDAY AFTERNOON /BACK TO
NEAR SEASONAL NORMS/. ENE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO RELAX THIS
AFTERNOON...AS SFC RIDGING CONTINUES TO EXPAND SWD FROM THE CNTRL
PLAINS AND MID-MS VALLEY. OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

ZONE UPDATE ALREADY OUT...GRIDS WILL BE AVAILABLE SHORTLY.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  56  36  55  48  58 /   0   0  20  70  80
MLU  55  33  58  48  58 /   0   0  10  50  80
DEQ  54  32  50  39  51 /   0  10  30  80  70
TXK  52  33  52  44  54 /   0  10  20  80  80
ELD  54  31  54  45  54 /   0   0  10  60  80
TYR  57  38  54  49  56 /   0  10  40  80  70
GGG  56  37  54  49  56 /   0  10  30  80  80
LFK  59  41  60  52  63 /   0  10  20  70  70

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19





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