Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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130
FXUS64 KSHV 041533
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1033 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...
10 AM TEMPS ARE RIGHT AROUND 70 DEGREES...GIVE OR TAKE A DEGREE OR
TWO. EXPECT TEMPS TO EASILY RISE ANOTHER 10 DEGREES OR SO BY
AFTN. SUNNY SKIES AND WESTERLY WINDS TO INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH.
THUS...AFTN HIGHS SHOULD BE AT LEAST AROUND 80 DEGREES. NO UPDATE
NEEDED./VII/.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 637 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND BEYOND. A
DEPARTING SHORTWAVE WITH MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH IT
WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE TERMINAL LOCATIONS THIS MORNING. IN ITS
WAKE WILL BE CLEAR SKIES WITH PERHAPS A WEAK CU FIELD DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

WEST TO WEST NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 8-12KTS WITH GUSTS UPWARDS OF 20KTS OR SO. WINDS WILL
QUICKLY DECOUPLE THIS EVENING.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 412 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES UPPER TROUGH TRANSITIONING ACROSS
THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A HEALTHY BAND OF CIRRUS IN THE
NW FLOW. THE TROUGH AND CIRRUS WILL BE EXITING QUICKLY EWD TOWARD
DAYBREAK AS CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR LATER TODAY.
AFTER ANOTHER COOL MORNING...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB AROUND
THE 80 DEGREE MARK THIS AFTERNOON JUST AHEAD OF A REINFORCING SHOT
OF COOL AIR IN THE FORM OF A DRY CANADIAN COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT
WILL SERVE TO KEEP NORTH WINDS PREVAILING THROUGH THURSDAY BEFORE
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN AT THE SFC. MEANWHILE...THE STRONG UPPER
RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES WILL ALSO TAKE HOLD BY LATE WEEK SO EXPECT
A WARMING TREND HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS COMFORTABLY IN
THE 80S WITH LOWS PRIMARILY IN THE 60S.

THE RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN LATE IN THE WEEKEND AS THE NEXT
UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS OUT OF THE ROCKIES ACROSS THE PLAINS...SETTING
UP OUR NEXT CHANCE OF RAINFALL LATE SUNDAY BUT ESPECIALLY INTO THE
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES BECOME
CAUGHT UP IN THE SW FLOW PATTERN ALOFT...KEEPING UNSETTLED WEATHER
IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD AND
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. IN THE MEANTIME...A PROLONGED STRETCH OF WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL HELP TO EASE OUR ELEVATED LAKE AND RIVER
LEVELS WHICH REMAIN IN FLOOD OVER A GOOD MAJORITY OF THE REGION.
/19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  78  52  82 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  52  76  51  80 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  47  78  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  51  77  51  81 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  50  76  49  81 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  53  78  54  82 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  53  78  53  82 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  55  80  53  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



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