Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 020452
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1152 PM CDT Wed Jul 1 2015

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Some stratus is expected to develop across the southern terminals
towards daybreak and linger through mid morning before scattering
out. Will maintain MVFR ceilings at KJCT and KSOA this forecast
cycle, with scattered stratus at KSJT and KBBD. Otherwise, VFR
conditions will prevail. Expect gusty south winds to develop
after 15Z, subsiding by early evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 700 PM CDT Wed Jul 1 2015/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Predominantly a VFR forecast the next 24 hours. It still looks
like some stratus will develop across the southern terminals
towards daybreak, much like it did this morning. Included MVFR
ceilings at KJCT and KBBD for a few hours Thursday morning, with
some scattered low clouds affecting KBBD and KSJT. Otherwise, VFR
conditions will prevail the next 24 hours. South winds will gust
to around 20 knots again by late morning Thursday.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 306 PM CDT Wed Jul 1 2015/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Thursday)

Looks like a quiet 24 hours as conditions aloft and at the surface
remain unfavorable for any significant convective development.
However, a few showers may make it north to along the I-10 corridor
through early this evening. Going to keep the forecast dry tonight
and Thursday. Lows tonight will be mid 60s to lower 70s with highs
Thursday in the upper 80s to mid 90s.

LONG TERM...

(Thursday night through Wednesday)

A fairly benign weather pattern is forecast through the extended
forecast. An upper level ridge will be centered across the
Intermountain West, with an upper level trough moving across the
northern Plains then into Great Lakes Region late Thursday and into
the weekend. This will send a cold front into Oklahoma, stalling
somewhere near to just north of the Red River. Showers and
thunderstorms are forecast to develop along and north of this
boundary, but the upper level ridge is forecast to dominate most of
West Central Texas, keeping the bulk of convection to our north.
Still, isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible, across
mainly Haskell and Throckmorton counties, and slight chance PoPs
were retained.

Sunday through the middle of next week, the upper level ridge to the
west will expand east, resulting in dry and hot temperatures across
West Central Texas. Temperatures will be near to slightly above
seasonal normals, in the low to mid 90s, with overnight lows in the
70s.

Daniels

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  72  92  74  92  73 /   5   5  10  10  10
San Angelo  69  91  72  91  72 /   5   5   5  10   5
Junction  69  87  71  90  73 /   5   5   5   5   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

99/99/24





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