Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44
000
FXUS64 KSJT 290446
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1146 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

.AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

Look for stratus to bring MVFR ceilings back to West Central Texas
late tonight or early tomorrow morning, mainly at our southern
three terminals. Conditions will again be VFR by 18Z. Tomorrow
afternoon, expect gusty winds from the south.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 632 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

VFR conditions will persist for all terminals through the evening.
Low stratus will bring MVFR conditions to the southern terminals
between 11-14Z. Expect VFR conditions to return to all terminals
by the early afternoon. Gusty south to southeast winds of 10-15KT
with gusts between 20-25KT will affect the KABI and KSJT terminals
through the afternoon and early evening.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 338 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday Night)

Ridging will remain in place through the next 36 hours allowing for
hot and dry conditions to persist. A few scattered showers may
develop around Midland, TX and drift eastward. However, these will
likely remain outside of our CWA. Otherwise, temperatures will be in
the upper 90s to 102 tomorrow afternoon. Low temperatures Thursday
night should drop into the low to mid 70s in most areas.

LONG TERM...
(Friday through Saturday Night)

The eastern portion of the ridge may weaken on Friday as a trough
moves across the plains. A cold front will briefly allow for a
chance of showers and thunderstorms across the Big Country Friday
afternoon. The best chances for rain remain along and north of the I-
20 corridor. However, areas as far south as Paint Rock and
Sterling City could see an isolated shower. A few of these storms
may be strong as MUCAPE values will be in the 1500 to 2000 j/kg
range. However, 0-6 km shear values near 20 kts will limit the
severe potential of these storms. Temperatures are expected to be
in the upper 90s to near 101 area wide on Friday. Slightly cooler
conditions are expected after the front passes through leaving
highs in the low to mid 90s on Friday.

(Sunday through Wednesday)

Broad upper level ridging will dominate over the forecast area
through the long term period. This will result in mostly dry
conditions and near to above normal temperatures. High temps will
generally be in the mid/upper 90s to near 100 degrees each day.
Overnight lows will in the mostly in the mid 70s. Several short
waves will pass north of the region along the periphery of the
upper ridge. The could allow an isolated storm to form and/or
drift into the area, mainly in the northern and western portions
of the forecast area, but chances are too low to include in the
forecast for now.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  73  99  76  99 /   5   0   0  10
San Angelo  72 100  76 101 /   5   5   0   5
Junction  71  96  74  97 /   5   5   5   5
Brownwood  71  97  76  96 /   5   5   0   5
Sweetwater  73 100  75  99 /   5   0   0  10
Ozona       71  97  74  98 /   5   5   0   5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.