Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 292258
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
558 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

Expect mainly VFR conditions at the terminals for the next 24
hours. Gusty winds from the west to northwest will continue for
the next few hours, then become much lighter, around 10 knots after
03Z.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 350 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Thursday)

High pressure will continue to build over Texas, during the next
24 hours. As an upper trough continues to move farther east, a
ridge aloft will move into Texas from the west. Gusty surface
winds, from the west this afternoon, will diminish after sunset to
around 10 mph or less. Skies will clear overnight, as the upper
system moves east. Lows tonight, mainly in the mid to upper 40s
look reasonable, with some radiational cooling. With lots of
sunshine tomorrow, highs will continue above seasonal normals,
mainly in the 75 to 80 range.

LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Wednesday)

Low level moisture will be returning Friday as a lee trough
develops over West Texas and surface high pressure moves farther
out into into Central Gulf of Mexico. An strong upper low will
move southeast in the 4 corners region Friday and brings West
Central Texas under increasing divergence aloft. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms possible Saturday, mainly in eastern zones, but
the better chance of storms will be Saturday night into early
Sunday morning as a cold front moves through the region. Severe
weather possible, but late evening and overnight timing on both
the GFS and EC models may mitigate the potential. The upper low
itself tracks over the region Sunday and bringing a few showers
into Sunday night.

Dry with a warming trend Monday into Tuesday as surface high
pressure moves into the Gulf, blocking return of moisture, and
bringing in drier southwest air. Dry air on Wednesday moves in
behind a weak cold front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  47  75  53  87 /   5   0   0   0
San Angelo  48  80  55  91 /   0   0   0   0
Junction  48  78  53  88 /   5   0   0   0
Brownwood  47  75  51  88 /   5   0   0   0
Sweetwater  46  75  53  86 /   5   0   0   0
Ozona       47  79  52  87 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

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