Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 231033
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
333 AM MST THU OCT 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BRING VERY
WARM DAYS THROUGH FRIDAY. EXPECT MAX TEMPS TO BE FROM 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. EXPECT BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS WEEKEND AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES TOWARDS THE STATE. HIGH TEMPERATURES COOL BACK
DOWN TO SEASONAL NORMALS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FEW CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE EXISTING FORECASTS. PROGS REMAIN IN
GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING WARM HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT TO MOVE SLOWLY
ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST THROUGH FRIDAY. MAX TEMPERATURES
IN NORTHERN AZ SHOULD BE FROM 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
FRIDAY...WITH OCCASIONAL CIRRUS CLOUDS PASSING BY. LOW LEVEL WIND
SPEEDS (BELOW 10 KFT MSL ARE 10 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

THIS WEEKEND...

SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER ARIZONA SHOULD STRENGTHEN ON SATURDAY AS A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST. PROGS DO MOVE THIS
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN ON SUNDAY. IMPACTS FOR
NORTHERN ARIZONA ARE BREEZY  SOUTHWEST WINDS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOONS...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH PROBABLE SUNDAY. A DRY COLD
FRONT ALIGNED WEST TO EAST SHOULD DIP SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AZ UT
STATE LINE SUNDAY NIGHT. NO MOISTURE IS SEEN IN BELOW H5 SUNDAY
NIGHT THOUGH AND THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP WAS REMOVED.

DRY WEATHER RETURNS FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY UNDER LIGHT WEST
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. SEASONAL MAX AND MIN TEMPS ARE FORECAST.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...FU FROM PRESCRIBED BURNS HAS
CAUSED IFR VIS AT KGCN AND MVFR VIS AT KFLG THIS MORNING. IFR VIS
FROM FU POSSIBLE AT KFLG...BUT NOT LIKELY. VIS IMPROVING AFT
SUNRISE. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR REMAINDER OF DAY. IFR/MVFR VIS
FROM FU AT KGCN AND KFLG POSSIBLE AFTER 06Z FRIDAY. AVIATION
DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........DL
AVIATION.......RR

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF









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