Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 182257

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
357 PM MST Sat Nov 18 2017

.SYNOPSIS...A cool start Sunday before warming back up to near
normal high temperatures for Sunday afternoon. Temperatures will
trend above normal with light winds and dry conditons through the
end of next week.


.DISCUSSION...Sunday will start out cool with winds remaining
light under clear skies overnight. This will quickly be turned
around by warming during the day to near normal temperatures.
High clouds return Monday morning with increasing cloud cover
through the day along and north of the Mogollon Rim.

A ridge of high pressure will build into the area as we move into
Monday warming temperatures back up to 5 to 10 degrees above
normal through the mid week. This pattern looks to stay in place
through the next seven days resulting in dry conditons and a
continued warming trend.

Heading into the end of next week, a few sites could see some
near record warm temperatures under the persistent ridging
pattern. Winds generally remain light through Thursday increasing
slightly Friday and into the next weekend as a response to a
disturbance moving past to the north increasing the pressure
gradients briefly.


.AVIATION...For the 00Z package...Look for VFR conditions over the
next 24 hours under generally clear skies. Generally light winds of
10 kts or less. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Very dry weather with a gradual warming trend Sunday
and Monday as high pressure builds over the region. Clear skies
through Sunday, becoming partly to mostly cloudy Monday. Light and
variable winds Sunday will become mainly westerly Monday but
remaining light.

Tuesday through Thursday...Generally clear and dry conditions with
light winds expected as high pressure continues to build. Daytime
temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees above normal each day.






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