Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 212213
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
310 PM MST TUE OCT 21 2014

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION WITH DRIER
AND WARMER CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY...THEN OVER THE WEEKEND A LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH WILL BRING BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND COOLER
CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH SATURDAY WILL RUN 4 TO 6
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND THEN BY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL BACK TO NORMAL SEASONAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME
OF THE YEAR.
&&

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT...A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO NEW MEXICO THIS EVENING...BEHIND THE TROUGH DRIER AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA...BRINGING AN END TO THE
SHOWERS OVER EASTERN ARIZONA.

WEDNESDAY-SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD INTO
THE REGION BRINGING DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
RUNNING 4-6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THEN ON SATURDAY ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST
WINDS AND COOLER CONDITIONS BY SUNDAY. THERE COULD BE SOME SPRINKLES
ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH TEMPERATURES
SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL COOL BACK DOWN TO AROUND NORMAL TO A FEW
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...FORECAST MODELS INDICATE A
FLAT RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WITH LOW PRESSURE TROUGHS PASSING BY TO
THE NORTH OF ARIZONA WHICH COULD BRING PERIOD OF BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...FR FOR MOST OF THE AREA FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. RESIDUAL MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALLOW ISOLD -SHRA
UNTIL AROUND 02Z SOUTHEAST OF A KPAN-KRQE LINE WITH CLOUD BASES AOA
11KFT MSL AND LCL CIGS AT 3KFT AGL. CLEARING SKIES AFT 03Z.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......MAS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF










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