Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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000
FXUS64 KLCH 021133
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
533 AM CST MON MAR 2 2015

.AVIATION...A SOUPY MESS OF LGT RAIN, LIFR AND AT TIMES VLIFR IN
LOW CIGS AND FOG DUE TO A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE AREA.
THIS BOUNDARY FINALLY LIFTS NORTH AS A WARM FRONT LATE MONDAY
NIGHT LEAVING A LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW LOADED WITH MOISTURE AND
ADVECTING OVER COOLER NEAR SHORE WATERS IDEAL FOR SEA FOG. BEST
ALTERNATE WOULD BE AEX BUT ONLY FOR VIS LATE TNITE. OTHERWISE LIFR
CIGS THERE AS WELL.

SWEENEY

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 AM CST MON MAR 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
QUITE A MESSY FORECAST THIS WEEK...STARTING WITH DENSE FOG IN THE
NEARSHORE COASTAL WATERS...EXTENDING INLAND IN SE TX AND SW LA. A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY NEAR THE COAST IS MAKING THE EXACT LOCATION OF
THE DENSE FOG DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN AS THE BOUNDARY WAVERS FROM THE
I-10 CORRIDOR TO THE COAST. FOG WILL BE IN THE FORECAST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...BEFORE A COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE WARM THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AS THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY DOES EVENTUALLY MOVE INLAND LATER TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY. THEN THE ROLLER COASTER RIDE OF TEMPERATURES GOES DOWN TO
BELOW NORMAL BY THURSDAY BEHIND THE FRONT.

PRECIP WATERS SHOW WE ARE QUITE ABOVE NORMAL...SO IT MAKES FOR A
SATURATED ATMOSPHERE. THERE ARE PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH MOST
OF THE WEEK...AND DUE TO TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING...A SMALL
CHANCE FOR WINTER PRECIP THURSDAY MORNING IN EAST TEXAS AND
CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

IN THE COASTAL WATERS...AFTER THE FOG PROBLEMS STARTING THIS WEEK
..BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY THE WINDS WILL GET QUITE
STRONG AND ARE LIKELY TO MEET SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.

15

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  67  62  75  64  74 /  60  20  30  30  50
KBPT  64  63  75  64  73 /  60  20  30  30  50
KAEX  53  50  74  63  69 /  50  30  30  40  70
KLFT  70  61  76  65  74 /  50  20  30  30  50

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU...EAST CAMERON...WEST CAMERON.

TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: JEFFERSON...ORANGE.

GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL
     WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA
     OUT 20 NM...SABINE LAKE...VERMILION BAY.

&&

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&&

$$







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