National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 061534
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1034 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013

.UPDATE...
A FEW SHOWERS ARE SEEN ACROSS BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS
THIS MORNING WITH CONTINUED EASTERLY FLOW. A FEW OF THESE SHOWERS
OVER THE WATERS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY BUT OTHERWISE
SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN DRY WITH STRONG UPPER RIDGING IN
CONTROL AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. MADE SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO
THE FORECAST THROUGH THE FIRST PERIOD. UPDATE SENT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 621 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL INTO SATURDAY, WITH ONLY SCATTERED
2-5KFT CU EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BE EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 KTS
TODAY, THEN DIMINISH TO 5-10 KTS TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES
TO DOMINATE.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 217 AM EST FRI DEC 6 2013/

DISCUSSION...
A MOSTLY QUIET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS AS A STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE WILL DOMINATE. THIS RIDGE AMPLIFIED IN RESPONSE TO A LARGE
UPPER LOW DEEPENED ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES/PLAINS STATES. THIS
RIDGE HAS ALSO PREVENTED THE ARCTIC AIR MASS OVER THE NORTHERN
STATES TO MOVE INTO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH OUR TEMPERATURES
RUNNING A FEW DEGREES ABOVE DECEMBER AVERAGES. THE ONLY CHANGE TO
A DRY FORECAST IS THAT THE THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE SHOWING A SLIGHT
MOISTURE INCREASE ON SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGHER PWAT VALUES MOVE
WEST AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE SURFACE ATLANTIC RIDGE. THE UPPER
RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AND SHIFT SOUTHEAST BY THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO NORTH FLORIDA. HOWEVER, IT
WILL STALL OUT ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA MOVING VERY LITTLE THROUGH
THURSDAY. THIS WILL MAINTAIN THE MOSTLY DRY FORECAST ALONG WITH
WARM TEMPERATURES.

MARINE...
A LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOCAL WATERS AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES VERY LITTLE TO OUR NORTH. SEAS
WILL MOSTLY BE 2 T 4 FEET THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  83  71  83  71 / 10 10 10 20
FORT LAUDERDALE  82  73  82  70 / 10 10 10 20
MIAMI            83  73  84  71 / 10 10 10 20
NAPLES           84  65  83  65 / -  -  -  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE...10/CD
AVIATION/RADAR...13/SI

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office