Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 270139
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
939 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2016

.UPDATE...
The current synoptic pattern aloft features an area of high
pressure over the Carolinas with low pressure southwest of the
state. Our region resides in between these features with a
southeast flow aloft. At the surface, the Atlantic ridge axis
remains stretched across the central peninsula. A bit of drier air
moving over the area aloft today kept convection a bit limited,
and there are just a few cells remaining. Expect these to
dissipate within the next few hours, with additional development
expected over the coastal waters and possibly the immediate coast
with the land breeze. Have updated the forecast PoPs based on
ongoing trends, with minor tweaks elsewhere.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected overnight. Scattered thunderstorms are
expected Wednesday afternoon, with VCTS in place at all terminals
starting at 18Z.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure over the region will keep relatively light southeast
to south winds in place for the next few days, with winds becoming
onshore near the coast with the sea breeze. Both winds and seas
are expected to remain below headlines, though daily thunderstorms
could produce briefly higher winds and waves.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  77  93  79  93 /  20  20  20  20
FMY  76  94  77  94 /  20  30  20  20
GIF  76  95  76  96 /  20  20  20  20
SRQ  77  92  78  92 /  20  20  20  20
BKV  74  95  74  96 /  20  20  20  20
SPG  79  93  80  93 /  20  20  20  20

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...05/Carlisle



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