Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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069
FXUS62 KTBW 251449
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
949 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

.UPDATE...
A nearly zonal flow remains aloft across Florida this morning as
a disturbance moves by to our north. At the surface, weak high
pressure is over the region, with a cold front analyzed over the
FLorida panhandle. Abundant low-level moisture has led to widespread
low stratus development overnight, lasting through this morning.
Expect these lower clouds to mix out within the next few hours, with
partly cloudy skies expected for the rest of the day. The cold front
will continue to shift toward the forecast area through the day, and
we could see a couple of sprinkles this afternoon, although (after
some debate), we have left them out of the forecast because of the
dry air above the surface. Would not be totally surprised if there
end up being a few sprinkles here and there, but the thinking is
that the probabilities are too low to mention at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
A mix of restrictions across area terminals this morning, as low
clouds linger. Satellite imagery shows this area of clouds slowly
shifting southeast, so terminals from north to south should return to
VFR over the next several hours. VFR will then prevail through the
rest of the day.

&&

.MARINE...
A cold front will move through the waters this evening and tonight,
with high pressure then moving into the southeast for Sunday. Winds
will reach exercise caution and near-advisory levels for a period
tonight into early Sunday and then will relax through the rest of the
day, although winds will again surge to near-advisory levels for
Sunday night into Monday. The first few days of the week should then
feature benign boating conditions with no headlines expected.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  78  56  76  61 /  10   0   0   0
FMY  82  60  81  63 /   0   0   0  10
GIF  82  56  77  58 /  10   0   0   0
SRQ  76  58  76  62 /  10   0   0   0
BKV  80  50  77  55 /  10   0   0   0
SPG  77  59  76  62 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Beach Hazards Statement through Monday evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Sarasota.

Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...05/Carlisle



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