Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
000
FNUS73 KBIS 200836
FWSBIS
Spot Forecast for Audubon L Shape Burn...NDGFD
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
336 AM CDT Sat Apr 20 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Clearing skies and quiet weather are expected at the burn site today,
with a northwest wind. Winds shift towards the west overnight, becoming
southwest to southerly on Sunday. Also on Sunday, wind direction may shift
a bit due to effects of the cold lake. If wind directions start to change
from the forecast, please contact the National Weather Service. In addition,
humidity values are expected to be lower on Sunday.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 47.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 18 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6 12 9 4 2 3 3
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............33 36 39 41 43 45 47
RH..............51 43 37 34 32 30 28
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..12 12 12 12 12 14 14
20 FT wind gust.15 17 17 18 18 18 19
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 3.7 4.4 5.1 5.2 5.9 5.9
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.18 18 18 18 20 20 20
Haines index....4 4 3 3 4 4 4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 25.
Max humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 20 mph shifting to the west 10
to 12 mph in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good early in the evening
decreasing to poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to
around 10 to 13 mph gradually shifting
towards the south in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest 18
to 21 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
$$
Forecaster...SCHILD
Requested by...Dan Halstead
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411409.0/BIS
.DELDT 04/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dkhalstead@nd.gov