Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 251135
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
635 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2016

.UPDATE...
Aviation Discussion.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

The forecast remains on track with hot and humid conditions
continuing into the last week of July. Today will feature highs
again ranging from the low to mid 90`s with isolated shower and
thunderstorm activity.

For tomorrow and Wednesday...part of the deep south and the lower
mississippi valley region will be between two two ridge centers.
One will be located over the Four Corners region while the other
drifts just off the eastern seaboard. We will be much closer to
the western periphery of eastern ridge center tomorrow and
Wednesday and the latest guidance suppresses most of the diurnal
activity. High temperatures 90 to 96 and lows in the 70s.

For Thursday through the weekend, the weakness between the two
ridge centers becomes more pronounced with better chances for
scattered convection as we get into the weekend. The Euro remains
a little slower in opening up the gap but the general concept is
the same as the GFS. Temperatures are not going to fluctuate much
but perhaps a couple of degrees cooler if scattered showers/storms
develop early enough.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF Discussion.

Expect iso to sct convection to develop this afternoon from east to
west, with winds out of the east to southeast at 5-8kts. Activity
will diminish during the early evening hours.

14

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected over the next
several days with highs in the 90s. Surface winds will be rather
light and generally from the southeast although some variability
will also exist. Since surface dew points are so high, critical
fire weather thresholds are not expected to be met with no watches
or warnings anticipated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     95  73  93  73  92 /  30  30  30  20  30
Anniston    95  73  93  73  92 /  30  30  30  20  30
Birmingham  95  76  94  76  92 /  30  20  30  20  30
Tuscaloosa  95  74  94  73  92 /  20  20  20  20  30
Calera      94  74  93  73  92 /  20  20  30  20  30
Auburn      94  74  92  73  91 /  20  20  30  20  30
Montgomery  96  74  95  75  93 /  20  20  30  20  30
Troy        92  72  92  72  90 /  20  20  40  20  30

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$


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