Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 241126 AAA
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
526 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.AVIATION...
NO AVIATION CONCERNS THIS FORECAST PERIOD. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. ON TUESDAY COULD SEE AN
INCREASE IN MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS. NORTHERLY WINDS 8-12 KNOTS
TODAY AND VARIABLE 5 KNOTS OR LESS TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
A COLD FRONT MOVED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS LAST EVENING. IN
ITS WAKE...COLDER AND BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS TEXAS TODAY WITH ANOTHER ON
TUESDAY. THE TUESDAY TROUGH WILL BE A LITTLE DEEPER AND UPWARD
MOTION AHEAD OF IT WILL GENERATE SOME CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY SOME
HIGH LEVEL VIRGA. AN EARLIER RUN OF THE NAM EVEN GENERATED SOME
QPF. HOWEVER...LOWER LEVELS WILL BE TOO DRY FOR ANY PRECIPITATION
TO REACH THE GROUND.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
A NORTHWESTERLY FLOW MID WEEK TURNS WESTERLY BY NEXT WEEKEND. THE
MAIN IMPACT WILL BE A RETURN TO SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH INCREASING
MOISTURE AND A WARMING TREND BACK TO ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES BY
THANKSGIVING WEEKEND AS A SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE PLAINS.
MOISTURE MAY DEEPEN ENOUGH THAT ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY. THE NEXT FRONT MAY BE A BRIEF INCURSION NEXT
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY ALONG WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH THAT MAY GENERATE WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT FOR LIGHT RAIN. FOR
NOW...HAVE ONLY GONE WITH 10 POPS AND NO MENTION OF PRECIPITATION
DUE TO UNCERTAINTY AND WILL WAIT FOR CONSISTENCY IN MODEL RUNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              64  40  64  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  64  36  64  34  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     65  40  65  37  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            61  37  61  35  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           65  39  63  36  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        64  37  63  36  68 /   0   0   0   0   0
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             64  37  64  33  69 /   0   0   0   0   0
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        64  38  64  36  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   65  40  64  38  69 /   0  -   -    0   0
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       65  42  65  39  70 /   0   0   0   0   0
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           65  41  65  37  71 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...10
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...04




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