Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 191426

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
926 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2018


...Temperatures Will Remain Above Normal This Week...

TODAY...Stout deep layer high pressure centered offshore the
eastern seaboard is producing a low-mid level east to southeast wind
flow.  This will provide a little moisture recovery, though the main
moistening is shown across the southern peninsula.  Some onshore
moving showers were occurring there in the freshening onshore flow.
The HRRR model indicates the showers will stay just to our south,
though would expect a little more cloudiness to occur there.
Otherwise, skies will be mostly-partly sunny. High temps will be a
few degrees lower than recent days due to the increased marine
influence; but still above normal in lower-mid 80s inland and around
80 along the coast. Little change to previous forecast except to
mention breezy winds on the Treasure Coast.


Mostly VFR. Breezy east/southeast winds to around 20 knots indicated
mainly KVRB-KSUA through this afternoon.  There wasn`t much fog in
the north this morning, and with little change or even a slight
increase in low level winds tonight, don`t think KLEE-KSFB will
be impacted by LIFR as depicted by MOS guidance.


Today-Tonight...Quite strong high pressure over the Atlantic with an
axis extending into the southeast U.S. is producing a freshening
east-southeast low level wind flow.  Speeds look a few knots higher
than currently forecast in the central waters as buoy 41009 has had
a pretty steady 14 knot flow the last several hours with 4-5 second
wave periods.

Exercise caution statement offshore in the south may need to be
extended to the coast as metars were showing breezy winds 15-20
knots.  No headlines needed yet elsewhere, but overall conditions
for small craft operation are worsening due to gradually increasing
wind waves.





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