Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 292035
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
335 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

.SHORT TERM...DECENT AMOUNT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ONCE AGAIN ALLOWING
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOME COOL AIR STRATOCU OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA. HOWEVER, JUST LIKE YESTERDAY, YOU CAN EXPECT CLOUDS TO
EVAPORATE AFTER THE SUN GOES DOWN, LEAVING US WITH SOME LOW SFC
DEW POINTS, CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS. THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO
BOTTOM OUT NEAR OR BELOW LAST NIGHTS MINIMA, WHICH MEANS SOME
NEAR RECORD CHILL AND SUNRISE TEMPS IN THE 50S. BOTH NAM AND MAV
MOS SHOW NASHVILLE MIN TEMP DROPPING INTO THE 57 TO 59 DEG RANGE,
WHICH--IF IT HAPPENS--WILL MAKE THE FOURTH TIME THIS MONTH THAT
THE TEMP IN NASHVILLE HAS BOTTOMED OUT IN THE 50S. THAT WOULD MAKE
FOR A RATHER RARE EVENT, SINCE FOUR DAYS IN JULY WITH LOWS IN THE 50S
HASN`T HAPPENED IN NASHVILLE SINCE 1976!

THE RECORD LOW IN NASHVILLE FOR JULY 30 IS 58, AND 53 AT
CROSSVILLE. BOTH OF THOSE TEMPERATURES WILL CERTAINLY BE WITHIN
REACH TONIGHT. THE DAILY RECORDS AT BOTH NASHVILLE AND CROSSVILLE
DATE BACK TO 1965.

ANOTHER PLEASANT DAY IS ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY, AS HIGHS TOP OUT
MAINLY FROM THE UPPER 70S INTO THE MIDDLE 80S.

STILL LOOKS LIKE A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MIGRATE EASTWARD
INTO THE ARK-LA-TEX AREA BY THURSDAY AND ALLOW FOR AN INCREASE IN
CLOUDS OVER AT LEAST WESTERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE, ALONG WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

BY FRIDAY, A MOIST FLOW OF AIR IN THE 850-700MB LAYER ALSO PUSHES
WESTWARD FROM GEORGIA AND CAROLINAS BRINGING AN INFUSION OF
GREATER CLOUD COVER OVER THE EAST. THUS, EXPECT A VARIABLY CLOUDY
DAY ON FRIDAY, WITH SOUTHERLY SFC WINDS ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
AT LEAST RECOVER INTO THE UPPER 70S TO MIDDLE 80S MOST AREAS. WILL
ALSO KEEP POPS IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY SOUTH AND EAST.

DECENT ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY, WITH BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS CONTINUING TO BE FOCUSED
MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS, SOUTH OF A VERY WEAK
SFC TROUGH AXIS.

.LONG TERM...BY THE LATTER PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD (SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY), ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE AREA ONCE AGAIN DROPS IN ON US FROM
THE NORTH, BRINGING ALONG MORE DRY WEATHER AND HOLDING ANY
SIGNIFICANT SUMMER HEAT AT BAY. INDEED, DON`T REALLY SEE ANY
90-DEGREE HEAT AT LEAST THROUGH NEXT TUE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      58  85  63  85 /   0   0  05  10
CLARKSVILLE    54  84  59  84 /   0   0  05  10
CROSSVILLE     53  77  57  78 /   0   0  05  10
COLUMBIA       56  84  61  84 /   0   0  05  10
LAWRENCEBURG   56  84  62  84 /   0   0  05  10
WAVERLY        55  84  61  84 /   0   0  05  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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