Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 011145
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
445 AM MST WED OCT 01 2014

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT COOLER NIGHTS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
A WEAK TROUGH WILL BRUSH THROUGH UTAH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH SOME CLOUD COVER AND SLIGHT CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE
UTAH ARIZONA BORDER REGION...OTHERWISE DRY THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK AND THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. A PACIFIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BUILD INTO ARIZONA ON FRIDAY WARMING HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK UP
TO SEASONAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.

&&

.DISCUSSION...TODAY...A FAST MOVING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP
EAST SOUTHEAST FROM THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES...JUST PASSING
EXTREME NORTHERN ARIZONA TO THE NORTH. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A
COOLER AIR MASS TO THE REGION ALONG WITH ISOLATE SHOWERS NEAR THE
BLACK MESA AND CHUSKA MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AMD EVENING.

OTHERWISE COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AND THURSDAY DUE TO A
NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM
SOUTH...GUSTY NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP.

FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHWEST STATES. EXPECT WARMER AFTERNOON HIGH
TEMPERATURES...CLOSER TO SEASONAL VALUES...AND DRIER HUMIDITY LEVELS
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT SCT-BKN SC/CU WITH BASES
FROM 6-8KFT AGL ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-40 CORRIDOR THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ELSEWHERE. ISOLD -SHRA NEAR THE FOUR
CORNERS FROM 21Z-03Z. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......PETERSON

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF









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