Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 190428
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
930 PM MST THU DEC 18 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT BROUGHT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO
ARIZONA ON THURSDAY HAS MOVED INTO NEW MEXICO. PATCHY FOG WILL
DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA TONIGHT. BEGINNING FRIDAY...EXPECT A
PERIOD OF FAIR WEATHER...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO NEAR TO ABOVE
NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WORK WEEK.

&&
.DISCUSSION...THE LOW PRESSURE MOVED INTO NEW MEXICO THIS EVENING
AND SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS ALL BUT ENDED ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. A FEW
FLURRIES ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS. UPDATED
FORECAST EARLIER FOR THE EARLIER FORMATION OF FOG. WILL UPDATE AGAIN
TO REMOVE EVENING SHOWERS AND EXPAND FOG EASTWARD INTO THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT HAS BROUGHT RAIN AND SNOW TO PORTIONS OF
ARIZONA TODAY IS CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS THE EASTERN PART OF THE
STATE. AT THIS POINT...SHOWER ACTIVITY IS MAINLY FROM FLAGSTAFF
EASTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST. PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM
AND WHITE MOUNTAINS REGION COULD SEE AN ADDITIONAL TRACE TO 3
INCHES OF NEW SNOW ABOVE 6000 FEET. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE FOR
LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVED PRECIPITATION TODAY AND EXPERIENCE
CLEARING SKIES OVERNIGHT.

A FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL CROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA ON
FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH ON
SATURDAY. THIS TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BRING PERIODS OF DENSE MID
AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER...BUT NO PRECIPITATION.

BEGINNING ON SUNDAY...500 MB HEIGHTS INCREASE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A PERIOD OF FAIR
WEATHER AND NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WORK WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...LCL STRATUS AROUND THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN
AZ ALONG WITH PATCHY FOG PRODUCING MVFR CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...THEN VFR CONDITIONS AFT 15Z. ISOLD -SHSN POSSIBLE
OVER SOUTHERN APACHE COUNTY THROUGH 09Z. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MAS/RR
AVIATION.......MAS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF







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