Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 272220

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
320 PM MST FRI MAY 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Just enough moisture will linger through early next
week for very slight chances of showers and thunderstorms each
day. Otherwise, warmer temperatures are in store starting today
and continuing into next week.


Convective development this afternoon looks like it has generally
been limited to high-based virga showers with very little
precipitation reaching the ground. This also appears to be the
most probable scenario over the coming days, with generally dry
conditions for most areas, but isolated and mostly light showers
possible. Maximum temps trended upwards today and will climb
additionally this weekend, becoming near normal. High pressure
looks to strengthen by the middle of next week with the potential
for daytime temps to warm up even further.


.AVIATION...For the 00Z Package...Expect VFR conditions for the
next 24 hours with a return of isold high based SHRA and TSRA
mainly from the Kaibab Plateau to KGCN to KFLG 18Z-01Z. Erratic
and gusty winds are possible near SHRA/TSRA. Aviation discussion
not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Isolated showers and thunderstorms Saturday
afternoon from Flagstaff northward to the Kaibab Plateau. Slight
chance of showers and storms Sunday afternoon across the higher
elevations north of a Grand Canyon to Window Rock line. Erratic
and gusty winds possible with any showers or storms.

Monday through Wednesday...Only isolated showers and thunderstorms
are expected with relatively light winds into the middle of next
week. Critical fire weather conditions are not expected at this






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