Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS65 KFGZ 011602
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
902 AM MST SUN FEB 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
MOIST GROUND CONDITIONS FROM RECENT RAINS HAVE RESULTED IN AREAS
OF LOW CLOUD AND FOG THIS MORNING. LOOK FOR DRY AND WARMER
WEATHER TO DEVELOP UNDER HIGH PRESSURE THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEK...THOUGH LOCALIZED FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH MIDWEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FOG AND LOW CLOUDS HAVE PERSISTED THIS MORNING MAINLY ALONG THE
MOGOLLON RIM/WHITE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE LITTLE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY...IN ADDITION TO PORTIONS OF THE CHINLE
VALLEY AND BLACK MESA AREAS. THE FOG MAY BE DENSE IN A FEW SPOTS
WITH VISIBILITY NEAR A QUARTER MILE. FOG/CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY RETREAT AS THE HEATING OF THE DAY WEARS ON. MADE MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO FOG/CLOUD COVER FORECAST THIS MORNING TO REFLECT
CURRENT TRENDS WITH NO OTHER CHANGES.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION /322 AM MST/...
AREAS OF DENSE PATCHY FOG AND LOW CLOUDS HAVE DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT
IN RESPONSE TO MOIST GROUND CONDITIONS AND OTHERWISE CLEARING
SKIES. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS IN FOG/STRATUS
COVERAGE...BUT AT THIS TIME MOST OF IT IS CONFINED TO THE MOGOLLON
RIM/WHITE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE LITTLE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY...AS WELL AS VALLEYS OF NE ARIZONA.

MAJORITY OF THE UPCOMING 7-DAY FORECAST LOOKS TO BE DOMINATED BY
HIGH PRESSURE...A LACK OF PRECIPITATION...AND MUCH WARMER THAN
NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPS. MAIN IMPACT OF THE FORECAST WILL BE
DETERMINING HOW PERSISTENT THE LOW CLOUDS/FOG WILL BE ON A DAY-TO-
DAY BASIS. THOUGH MUCH WARMER FOR MOST LOCATIONS...VALLEY
LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST ARIZONA IN THE CLOUD LAYER MAY SEE THE
WARMING TREND HINDERED A BIT.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...VFR ACROSS AREAS SOUTH AND WEST OF
KGCN-KFLG-KPAN. WDSPRD LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE
MOGOLLON RIM FROM KFLG THROUGH KSJN AND NORTH TO I-40 AND OVER LAKE
POWELL. EXPECT IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS IN THE STRATUS / FOG. FOG IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO KPGA THIS EVENING.  AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MCS/KD
AVIATION.......DL

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.