Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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249
FXUS65 KFGZ 052200
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
300 PM MST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SYNOPSIS...WARM HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST
COAST THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT CLEAR SKIES AND A WARMING
TREND. MAX TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
PROGS IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING A WARM RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT TO BUILD OVER THE WESTERN U.S. THROUGH TUESDAY...FOLLOWED
BY WESTERLY FLOW THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

THE MAIN STORY WILL BE THE WARMING TREND IN MAX TEMPS FROM
SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, TEMPS BEING SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY. MAX TEMPS TO THEN LEVEL OFF FOR
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

SFC HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP NORTHEAST SFC WINDS BLOWING FOR
AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM...WITH SPEEDS 10-15 MPH
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. PROGS SHOW THE GRADIENT TIGHTENING
AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING AND THUS EXPECT WIND SPEEDS
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS AT 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SPEEDS TO
THEN DECREASING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
AREA WIDE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS AT 10 TO
20 KNOTS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM THROUGH 12Z SAT THEN
DECREASING. LIGHT SFC WINDS ELSEWHERE. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...DL
AVIATION...DL


FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



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