Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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000
FXUS65 KLKN 081012
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
212 AM PST MON FEB 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING QUIET AND DRY
WEATHER TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE IS NOT TOO MUCH GOING
ON THIS MORNING WEATHER-WISE ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA.
SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING ONLY A FEW WISPS OF HIGH CLOUDS.

FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...ALL MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
MAINTAIN ITS HOLD ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA. THIS WILL
RESULT IN QUIET AND DRY DAYS. THE SNOW PACK IN MANY AREAS REMAINS
DEEP AND THIS WILL HAVE AN EFFECT ON THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST.
WHERE NO SNOW IS OBSERVED...HIGH TEMPERATURES YESTERDAY WENT UP
INTO THE UPPER 40S TO EVEN THE MID 50S. IN AREAS WITH GOOD SNOW
PACK...TEMPERATURES REMAINED IN THE 30S. WITH NO CHANGES IN AIR
MASS...AFTERNOON HIGHS TODAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY`S...AND
PERHAPS MAYBE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER. IT WILL BE CLEAR TONIGHT
WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO MID 20S WITH LIGHT WINDS.

TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE UPPER RIDGE
FIRMLY IN POSITION ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. THE QUIET
AND DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND
THE MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES EACH DAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE
FAIRLY CLOSE TO MONDAY`S TEMPERATURES.


.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. MODELS AGREE WELL
UNTIL ABOUT FRIDAY AFTERNOON THEN MAJOR DIFFERENCES SHOW UP.
HENCE...AFTER 00Z SATURDAY DID NOT MAKE MAJOR CHANGES. UPPER RIDGE
WEAKENS AND SLIDES EAST UNDER ONSLAUGHT OF NEXT PACIFIC TROUGH
MOVING INTO COAST. WARMING TREND BUT WITH THE SNOW PACK...THE TREND
WILL BE SLOW AND WEAK. MOST SENSIBLE HEAT WILL GO INTO MELTING OR
SUBLIMATING THE SURFACE SNOW RATHER THAN WARMING THE AIRMASS.
STILL...DRY-ISH AIR WILL MEAN NEAR ZERO POPS TO START...MIGRATING TO
VERY LOW TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR LAST PART OF THE LONG TERM.
MOSTLY SNOW, AND NOT MUCH OF IT, IN SPORADIC LOCATIONS.

STILL LOOKING AT COLD NIGHT TIME TEMPS AS SNOW PACK RADIATES UNDER
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

SOME CHANCE FOR PATCHY FOG IN VALLEYS AROUND THE REGION WITH MELTING
SNOW AND COLD NIGHTS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT KWMC KEKO KELY AND KTPH
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AT ALL SITES.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

86/98/98


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