Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
FXUS65 KLKN 271030
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
330 AM PDT FRI MAY 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS...Moisture and instability will keep the threat of
showers and thunderstorms in the forecast across eastern and
central Nevada through the Memorial Day Weekend. High pressure will
mark a return to the region Tuesday bringing warming temperatures
and dry weather to all of northern and central Nevada.
.SHORT TERM...Today through Sunday. Lingering moisture and
instability across eastern NV today for isolated to scattered
thunderstorm activity in the afternoon and early evening. The best
area for thunderstorm activity will be across northeast Elko
county where a convergent boundary will set up ahead of short wave
moving into Oregon and Idaho. On Saturday weak upper low forms
along the central CA coast which will provide moisture and
instability to central NV along with a weak convergent boundary.
This will result in isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms.
This moisture and instability will get drawn up into all of
eastern NV on sunday ahead of short wave moving into the Pacific
Northwest bringing isolated to scattered thunderstorm activity.
Not much change in temps today and Saturday than about 5 degrees
warmer on Sunday.
.LONG TERM...Sunday night through next Thursday. Warmer and
drier conditions next week.
Shower and thunderstorm activity begins to exit to the east on
Monday as high pressure builds in from the southwest. Held on to
slight chance of thunderstorms over East-central Nevada Monday
afternoon...with dry conditions across the remainder of the cwa.
Models in relative agreement with placement and building of high
pressure over the western u.s. next week. As such took out what
little mention of shower or thunderstorm activity that remained in
the forecast from Monday night through Thursday. Along with the
drier conditions next week...look for afternoon highs to warm up
into the 70s Monday and Tuesday...then into the 80s most locations
on Wednesday. May see a little more mid-level moisture creeping in
under the high pressure next Friday resulting in increased cumulus
build-ups and possibly some isolated thunderstorms during the
afternoon hours. For now kept ts out of next Fridays forecast.
.AVIATION...VFR conditions expected at all terminals today. Mostly
clear across Western Nevada early this morning...while eastern most
areas have scattered to broken skies. Best chances for a little
thunderstorm activity later today will be over far eastern Elko
County. Slightly higher winds this afternoon across the region with
gusts as high as 15 to 25kts.