Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 312237
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
337 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING THE REGION FROM THE
NORTH WILL BRING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN A COOLING TREND DURING THE LATTER PART OF
THE WEEK, FALLING TO WELL BELOW NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DROPPING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL TIGHTEN UP PRESSURE
GRADIENTS OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
EXPECT BREEZY CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO
20 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH. ON WEDNESDAY WINDS WILL INCREASE
TO 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH. HIGH TEMPS WILL PEAK OUT
ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO THE MID 90S, THEN A COOLING
TREND WILL BEGIN ON WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. BROAD TROUGH OVER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE GREAT BASIN BY THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES TRENDING LOWER INTO THE WEEKEND.
LATEST MODEL RUNS ALL SLOWING THE ARRIVAL OF THE TROUGH INTO
NEVADA...ALONG WITH A DEEPER SOUTHERLY PUSH. THE RESULT OF WHICH
WILL BE EVEN COOLER TEMPERATURES AS WE APPROACH THE WEEKEND...AND
POSSIBLY PRECIPITATION REACHING INTO CENTRAL NEVADA. MAIN CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST PACKAGE WERE TO TREND TEMPERATURES LOWER. WHILE POPS
WERE RAISED SLIGHTLY...KEPT THEM LOW ENOUGH TO HOLD OFF ON SHOWER
WORDING AS MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WITH EACH
RUN. COOLEST TEMPERATURES WILL BE SATURDAY WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN
THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY IN THE 30S TO LOW 40S. MAY NEED A FROST ADVISORY FOR
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEVADA...IN PARTICULAR ELKO COUNTY...SATURDAY
NIGHT AS MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS DIP INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S WITH
SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATION VALLEY AREAS POSSIBLY FALLING INTO THE
MID TO UPPER 20S. TROUGH EJECTS NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO TREND WARMER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS ACROSS NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA FOR THE NEXT 24 PLUS HOURS.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL NV FROM THE NORTH WILL INCREASE WINDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. ON TUESDAY EXPECTING SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH, INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35
MPH ON WEDNESDAY, AND CONTUINING ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN FIRE ZONES 457,467,AND 468
FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN HUMBOLDT COUNTY-EASTERN HUMBOLDT
COUNTY AND NORTHWESTERN ELKO COUNTY-NORTHERN NYE COUNTY/LANDER
AND EUREKA COUNTIES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50.

&&

$$

91/96/96/91



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