Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 310704

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
204 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016


The strong upper ridge that has persisted over the Mid-South over
the last several days will retreat to the southwest today. A cold
front that is currently located near the Missouri and Iowa border
will begin to sink south. By late this afternoon, expect the front
to be just south of the St. Louis. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms will be possible across the entire Mid-South this

Today will be the last day of hot and humid conditions for at
least a couple of days. Expect heat indices to reach between 100
and 105 degrees this afternoon.

The front will move through the Mid-South late tonight into
Thursday. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will continue to be
possible along and ahead of the front.

By Thursday afternoon, cooler and drier air will begin to filter
into the Mid-South.

Thursday night through the early part of the weekend will be
pleasant as surface high pressure over the Great Lakes builds into
the region. Highs will in the 80s with lows ranging from the
upper 50s to upper 60s.

By the latter part of the weekend into early next week, the upper
ridge will build back over the Mid-South. As a result,
temperatures and humidity levels will begin to creep back up.
Can`t rule out an isolated diurnal shower or thunderstorm
developing over Eastern Arkansas Monday and Tuesday afternoons as




06Z TAF cycle

VFR conditions will continue for much of the forecast period. Some
fog is expected to develop in the KMKL area which may produce MVFR
visibilities. Winds will be mainly from the northeast at 5 to 10
knots for much of the forecast period.



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