Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
232 FXUS64 KOHX 092330 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 630 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through next Thursday) Issued at 1206 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 In the extended forecast, we will kick off the period with some upper ridging. The ridge axis will quickly move east, however, and give way to our next weather system. This system will take the form of an open wave. The associated frontal system will offer little n-s extension and instabilities will be weak. Nevertheless, showers and thunderstorms will return beginning Monday night, but the activity looks like a general risk. Otherwise, rainfall amounts look like maybe a half inch. After a brief break on Wednesday, look for more showers and tstms to return. This system looks more potent with a surface low tracking northeastward across the upper midwest. The southwestward frontal extension lacks organization, but 60 knots at 850 mb could end up being problematic if instability levels increase with time. As for now, no day 7 or day 8 spc inclusion. Rainfall totals at this point look like up to one inch or so. For the extended temps, values looking close to normal for mid May with lows upper 50s to lower 60s and highs mid 70s to lower 80s. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 627 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Gusty westerly winds will decrease as they become northerly after sunset. A weak disturbance will bring more cloud cover to the area, resulting in at least MVFR cigs by 12Z. Conditions should improve back to VFR after 18Z with northerly winds prevailing. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 60 71 54 76 / 0 0 0 10 Clarksville 56 70 52 75 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 54 67 46 68 / 0 20 0 20 Columbia 58 72 50 76 / 10 0 0 0 Cookeville 56 67 49 71 / 0 20 0 20 Jamestown 53 65 46 69 / 0 30 0 20 Lawrenceburg 58 72 50 76 / 10 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 57 71 50 76 / 0 10 0 10 Waverly 56 71 52 76 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...21 LONG TERM....21 AVIATION.....Clements