Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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FXUS64 KHUN 021717 AAC
AFDHUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1117 AM CST MON MAR 2 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z TAFS

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 1050 AM CST MON MAR 2 2015/
THE 16Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED THAT A WEAK TROUGH WAS SITUATED
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPS WERE RANGING
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 30S ACROSS SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND ALONG
THE BORDERING ALABAMA COUNTIES...TO THE 40 TO 45 DEGREE RANGE ACROSS
CULLMAN...MARSHALL AND INTO DEKALB COUNTIES. THE SHORT TERM MODELS
KEEP THE BOUNDARY NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR TSRA POTENTIAL ALONG THE BOUNDARY
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF
THE FORECAST AREA...BUT CULLMAN COUNTY COULD BE ON THE NORTHERN
FRINGE OF THIS AREA OF SHOWERS/EMBEDDED THUNDER. TEMPS SHOULD ONLY
RISE A FEW DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WEAK COLD ADVECTION ACROSS
THE AREA. HAVE MADE LITTLE CHANGES TO THE AFTERNOON FORECAST.

TT

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 18Z TAFS...WILL CONTINUE WITH MVFR BASED CEILINGS FOR HSV AND MSL
UNTIL AROUND 03Z. IFR CEILING CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED THROUGH
THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AT HSV AND MSL. HAVE ALSO SLOWLY
BROUGHT IN VISIBILITIES IN THE MVFR RANGE AFTER 08Z AT BOTH LOCATIONS
AND PREDOMINANT LIGHT RAIN AFTER 14Z.

TT

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE
AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE.


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