Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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875
FXUS64 KOHX 080525
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1125 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

PREVIOUS FORECAST LOOKS TO BE ON TRACK WITH ONLY MINOR CHANGES
TONIGHT. LOWERED POPS A BIT FOR THIS EVENING AND INTO THE EARLY
MORNING AS CURRENT RADAR/SAT NOT SHOWING TOO MUCH JUST YET WITH
ONLY SOME LIGHT RAIN NEAR THE MS RIVER VALLEY AND WEAK ECHOES
MOVING CLOSER TO THE NORTHWEST ZONES. UPDATED TEMPS WINDS AND WX
TYPES FOR THE EARLY MORNING AND INTO THE DAY TOMORROW AS WELL TO
MATCH LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE. DEPENDING ON HOW SOON TEMPS DROP TO
THE LOW TO MID 30S WILL BE THE DECIDING FACTOR ON WHEN TRANSITION
TO ALL SNOW OCCURS...AND CURRENT THINKING IS ALL SNOW FOR MOST OF
THE AREA AFTER 21Z TOMORROW WITH A MIX POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
DAYTIME HOURS. REST OF THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL APPROACH MID-STATE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
VFR FLIGHT RULES WILL PERSIST UNTIL MID-MORNING MONDAY BEFORE THE
ATMOSPHERE SATURATES TO DROP CIGS TO MVFR. THIS SHOULD BEGIN
OCCURRING IN THE 16-18Z TIME FRAME. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE FAIRLY
LIGHT SO VIS SHOULD NOT FALL TO IFR...BUT CIGS COULD BE IFR
TOWARD THE END OF THE CYCLE.

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TONIGHT THEN PICK UP MONDAY MORNING AS THEY
SHIFT TO THE SW THEN WEST LATE MORNING. WESTERLY GUSTS OF
18-20 KTS WILL BE COMMON.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR
CLAY-CUMBERLAND-DE KALB-FENTRESS-GRUNDY-JACKSON-OVERTON-PICKETT-
PUTNAM-VAN BUREN-WARREN-WHITE.

&&

$$

AVIATION........UNGER
SHORT TERM......06/BARNWELL



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