Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 241150
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
650 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR MORNING DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Some light showers are approaching the TN River Valley Region
approaching 12Z in association with a weak upper level disturbance
aloft. HRRR model has been the most consistent in sustaining this
feature and pushing it eastward across wrn and cntrl portions of
the mid state thru the mid/late morning hrs. Some question to
whether these isolated light showers will have enough strength to
persist as they move eastward into a more atm subsidence friendly
environment. Thus, at this time, will initially introduce a slight
chance of light showers across western portions of the mid state
through the mid morning hours. Also tweaked hrly temp, dewpoint,
and wind direction/speed grids.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

An upper ridge over the region will bring prevailing VFR through
the next 24 hours. One concern this morning is the area of TSRA
over AR/MO. We think this will weaken, but it is not out of the
question for an isold TSRA to hold together into the CKV area
later today. Otherwise, layers of broken clouds near 10kft and
25kft will be overhead with south winds mostly less than 10kt.


&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......31
AVIATION........13


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