Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 042131

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
231 PM MST Sun Dec 4 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Expect dry weather with near average temperatures
through Tuesday afternoon. A strong cold front is forecast to
bring much colder temperatures and perhaps some shower activity
late Tuesday into Wednesday. Warmer temperatures and dry weather
to return starting Thursday.



Just a few cirrus moving into the northland from the north this
afternoon. The cold front that will move into our area Tuesday
evening is seen on satellite imagery pushing through the Pacific
northwest. Cloud cover here should increase on Monday as the
front moves closer, otherwise expect fair weather for our area
through early Tuesday.

On Tuesday, the main weather to be increasing SW to W sfc winds
as the front nears. The cold front should be aligned west to east
and moving southward across the UT / AZ border Tuesday night.
There is some shallow moisture with the front and will continue
the slight chance of showers Tuesday night-Weds morning for areas
along and north of the Mogollon Rim. High temps Wednesday should
be from 10 to 15 degrees below normal, with the largest anomalies
in the 4 Corners. Skies should be clear Weds night leading to a
very cold Thursday morning with single digit to low teen readings
across the northeast quarter of our state.

    From Thursday through Sunday - Dry weather through the period
with west to northwest flow aloft. Max temps to start a warming
trend on Thursday across the high country and Yavapai county. The
valleys in northeast AZ may need to wait until Friday for the
warm up due to sfc temperature inversions.


.AVIATION...For the 00Z forecast...VFR conditions across northern
Arizona for the next 24 hours. Light winds overnight becmg S-SW
10-15 kt Monday afternoon. Aviation discussion not updated for
TAF amendments.






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