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000
FXUS62 KTBW 020247
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
947 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2015

.UPDATE...
MOSTLY QUIET WEATHER ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING WITH
JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS STILL OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF WATERS.
THOSE SHOULD SLOWLY DISSIPATE WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. THE
MAIN CONCERN OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WILL BE THE
POTENTIAL FOR DENSE FOG DEVELOPMENT WITH A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IN
PLACE AND FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. LATEST RUNS OF
THE NARRE AND SREF ALSO SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SEA FOG SO
HAVE ADDED PATCHY FOG TO THE GRIDS FOR THE WATERS AS WELL AND THIS
WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED. OTHERWISE...THE ONGOING FORECAST IS IN
GOOD SHAPE.

&&

.AVIATION...
MAIN CONCERN FOR TONIGHT IS THE POTENTIAL FOR IFR OR WORSE
CONDITIONS IN FOG THAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. FOR NOW...SHOW MVFR
VSBYS AT ALL SITES AND WILL AMEND OR TEMPO AS NECESSARY.
CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATE MORNING WITH VFR EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF
THE DAY. WINDS AT COASTAL SITES ARE EXPECTED TO TURN ONSHORE LATER
IN THE AFTERNOON WITH THE SEA BREEZE.

&&

.MARINE...
JUST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS REMAIN OUT OVER THE GULF WATERS JUST WEST
OF VENICE AND THESE WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE. SOME PATCHY
FOG IS POSSIBLE OVER THE WATERS TONIGHT...BUT THE BETTER CHANCE
FOR SEA FOG DEVELOPMENT STILL LOOKS TO BE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN BELOW HEADLINES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
A SEA BREEZE WILL TURN WINDS ONSHORE AT THE COAST AGAIN FOR
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  65  80  64  81 /  10  10  10   0
FMY  65  85  64  84 /  10  10   0  10
GIF  65  83  63  82 /  10  10  10  10
SRQ  63  79  62  79 /  10  10  10   0
BKV  60  82  59  83 /  10  10  10  10
SPG  66  79  65  79 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...05/CARLISLE