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000
FXUS62 KTBW 071505
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1005 AM EST SAT DEC 7 2013

.UPDATE...
DEEP LAYER RIDGING REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS
MORNING WITH THE STRONG UPSTREAM COLD FRONT...EDGING SLOWLY OFF TO
THE EAST THROUGH THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE FRONT WILL NOT MAKE
MUCH MORE PROGRESS EASTWARD AS THE STRONG SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE HOLDS
OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE PENINSULA THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MAINLY
CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...WITH SOME ATLANTIC
BROKEN/OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS BEGINNING TO APPROACH HIGHLANDS
COUNTY FROM THE SOUTHEAST. DAYTIME MIXING SHOULD RESULT IN THIS
CLOUD COVER BREAKING UP AS IT PUSHES INTO SOUTHERN INTERIOR ZONES.
OVERALL...PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES SHOULD BE THE RULE THIS AFTERNOON.
CAN/T RULE OUT AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR A FEW SPRINKLES THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHWEST FLORIDA WHERE MOISTURE WILL BE A BIT
DEEPER AND THE CAPPING INVERSION HIGHER IN ELEVATION...BUT
PROBABILITIES ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE FORECAST. AS A
RESULT...WILL KEEP THE FORECAST RAIN FREE. TEMPERATURES APPEAR ON
TRACK TO TOP OUT AT NEAR RECORD LEVELS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH 08Z TONIGHT.
AFTER 08Z...MVFR/IFR CIGS AND VSBY WILL BE POSSIBLE AS LIGHT WINDS AND
AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SUPPORTS SOME LOW CLOUDS AND FOG. SOUTHEAST
TO SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 KNOTS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST TO
WEST AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS AFTER 19Z...BECOMING VARIABLE 5 KNOTS OR LESS
AFTER 01Z TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  84  67  83  68 /   0  10  10  10
FMY  85  66  85  65 /  10  10  10  10
GIF  84  64  83  64 /   0  10  10  10
SRQ  83  65  83  65 /   0  10  10  10
BKV  84  59  83  60 /   0  10  10  10
SPG  82  67  82  68 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...JELSEMA
AVIATION...MCMICHAEL