Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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000
FXUS65 KLKN 281014
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
314 AM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER NICE DAY IS ON TAP ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS THE WEATHER QUIET. SOME MID-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL SEEP INTO THE REGION...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL BE NORTH OF
NEVADA ON SATURDAY...BUT WILL HELP TO BRING BREEZY CONDITIONS TO
THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SKIES ARE CLEAR ACROSS
NORTHERN NEVADA THIS MORNING. THIS IS THE RESULT OF AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE THAT HAS ITS CENTER OF CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWESTERN
CALIFORNIA. GOES SOUNDER DPI IS SHOWING PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
OF 0.33 TO 0.50 INCHES OVER THE REGION.

FOR TODAY...THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLIGHTLY
TO THE WEST...BUT LIMITED MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES AND DRY CONDITIONS. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 80S
TO LOW 90S. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT.

IT WILL BE A QUIET AND DRY NIGHT THIS EVENING...WITH LIGHT WINDS.
THE USUALLY COLDER LOCALES LIKE WILDHORSE RESERVOIR WILL DIP TO THE
LOW TO MID 30S.

MOISTURE IN THE MID-LEVELS WILL START TO MOVE INTO NORTHERN NEVADA
TOMORROW. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO
ROUGHLY 0.66 TO 0.75 IN PORTION OS EUREKA...WHITE PINE AND ELKO
COUNTIES. WITH THE NOMINAL INCREASE IN MOISTURE...HAVE KEPT MAINLY
DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE A BIT
WARMER WITH VALUES IN THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. WITH A COLD FRONT
SWEEPING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN ON SATURDAY WHICH WILL USHER IN
COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE LONG TERM. NEAR
THIS FRONT ON FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF NEVADA IN
ELKO COUNTY. BEHIND THE COLD FRONT NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL DOMINATE
THROUGH MONDAY WITH DRY AND SUNNY CONDITIONS. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL RE-DEVELOP AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES TOWARDS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR NEXT 24 HOURS WITH FEW-SCT CUMULUS IN AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS AND SOME CIRRUS MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA
LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...IT WILL BE DRY TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL
OF THE WEATHER. HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S.
GENERALLY QUIET AND COOL CONDITIONS CAN BE ANTICIPATED FOR
TONIGHT. BY TOMORROW...INCREASING MOISTURE WILL HELP TO BRING
THUNDERSTORMS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEVADA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED AND DRY ACROSS PORTIONS OF
454...455...AND 468-470. BETTER MOISTURE IS EXPECTED OVER THE
JARBIDGE WILDERNESS WHERE SCATTERED WET THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH OF NEVADA FOR THE
WEEKEND. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE...AND WILL BE NEAR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE
IN THE 10-15 PERCENT RANGE IN FIRE ZONE 457...WITH WINDS AT OR
JUST ABOVE 30 MPH. FURTHER NORTH AND EAST...MINIMUM RH VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE 15 PERCENT IN THE REST OF THE FIRE ZONES.

QUIET AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

86/90/90/86





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