Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 300932
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
232 AM PDT MON MAY 30 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Some lingering showers and thunderstorms over East-
central Nevada today...otherwise dry with warming temperatures
through the week. High temperatures in most valley locations will
be in the upper 80s to mid 90s over the latter half of this week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Today through Wednesday. Low pressure currently
centered over Southern California will gradually weaken as it
drifts east-southeast today. Models hang onto a little instability
over East-central Nevada through this evening...which is related
to the upper level low to our south. Latest guidance however
trends the moisture and instability off to the east-southeast a
little quicker. As such...have reduced pops over East-central
Nevada for today while also reducing thunderstorm coverage from
scattered to isolated. Best chances for a few strikes will be over
Eastern White Pine County this afternoon.

High pressure building in along the west coast will keep the cwa
dry Tuesday and Wednesday while also kicking off a warming trend.
Highs Tuesday will be similar to today...with upper 70s to mid 80s
in most valley locations. By Wednesday the afternoon highs will
climb into the 80s across the region.

Rising temperatures will accelerate snow melt over the mountainous
areas of the region. While no flooding is expected early this
week...stream flows coming off mountains will trend higher and
faster. The most significant stream and creek rises are expected
across the eastern half of the cwa where well above normal
snowpack remains. This includes creeks along the Ruby Mountains as
well as the rest of the higher terrain in Eastern Elko County and
all of White Pine County.

.LONG TERM...Wednesday night through Sunday. The heat is on!
Strong ridge of high pressure over the region will bring much
above normal temperatures, with highs around 20 degrees above
normal. Highs will top out in the mid 90s in the warmest locales
over the weekend. Kept it dry through the period, but an upper low
moving onto the central CA coast on sunday will bring some
moisture and instability knocking on our doorstep.

&&

.AVIATION...An isolated thunderstorm is possible in the vicinity
of the KELY terminal from 21z-02z as KELY sits on the western
boundary of moisture and instability. Otherwise VFR conditions
with mostly clear skies.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...None.

&&

$$

96/91/91



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