Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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FXUS64 KCRP 041804 AAC
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1204 PM CST Sun Dec 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Updated for the 18Z Aviation Discussion.

&&

.AVIATION...

IFR CIGs predominantly expected across South Texas, with a
mixture of MVFR possible through the evening. -RA/SHRAs continue
to stream out of the SW-NE across the region. Some waning in
activity is to occur during the afternoon to early evening, but
additional development is expected by late evening through early
Monday as the main weather system pushes east out of Mexico and
into western Texas. As this occurs, although not expected to be
widespread, embedded thunderstorms will be possible, roughly after
00Z. SHRA/TSRA activity is expected to wane through Monday
morning, with -RA possible to linger through at least 15Z. Drying
and slight lifting of CIGs will occur Monday, although at this
time, MVFR CIGs are still expected. Winds will generally be out of
the N 10-20 KTs becoming more NW late in the period.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... /Issued 902 AM CST Sun Dec 4 2016/

DISCUSSION...

Made adjustments to the morning grids. With models showing a
faster redevelopment of surface low across the waters faster, have
increased winds and expanded SCA for all coastal waters beginning
this morning and continue through tonight. In addition, with thick
cloud coverage and persistent northerly flow, adjusted a few
degrees lower, especially across the northern tier from Cotulla to
Victoria. No other adjustments made.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    59  54  68  52  75  /  80  80  40  10   0
Victoria          56  52  63  48  72  /  80  80  50  10   0
Laredo            57  50  68  50  76  /  80  70  10  10   0
Alice             57  52  68  49  76  /  80  80  30  10   0
Rockport          60  56  66  56  72  /  80  80  50  10   0
Cotulla           56  50  64  47  74  /  80  80  20  10   0
Kingsville        59  53  68  50  77  /  80  80  30  10   0
Navy Corpus       63  57  66  57  72  /  80  80  40  10   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM CST
     Monday For the following zones: Kleberg...Nueces.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday For the following
     zones: Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out
     20 NM...Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship
     Channel out 20 NM...Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas
     from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda
     Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

CB/85...AVIATION



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