Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 261720
AFDCRP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1220 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...PLEASE SEE THE AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR MORE DETAILS.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF
FCST PD ACROSS SOUTH TX AS A DRY AND SUBSIDENT AIRMASS PREVAILS.
VERY BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS WL BE POSSIBLE BETWEEN 10Z AND 15Z
SUNDAY ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND...MOSTLY THE VCT AREA. WIND GUSTS
AROUND 25 KNOTS ACROSS ALI AND CRP WL PERSIST UNTIL 02-03Z THIS
EVENING. BRIEF WINDS GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS WL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
LRD BETWEEN 23Z AND 03Z THIS EVENING AS THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION
REACHES THIS AREA.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1106 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2014/

DISCUSSION...THE KCRP 12Z SOUNDING ALONG WITH VISIBLE IMAGERY AND
THE LATEST GUIDANCE ALL POINT TO A DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIRMASS
IN PLACE ACROSS THE CWA TDA COMPARED TO THE LAST TWO DAYS. WHILE
VERY ISOLATED SEA BREEZE CONVECTION CANNOT BE TOTALLY RULED
OUT...IT WL BE DRY FOR NEARLY THE ENTIRE CWA TDA. THE MAIN ISSUE
WL BE THE HEAT INDICES. WITH MORE SUNSHINE AND A WARMER BOUNDARY
LYR PER THE KCRP SOUNDING...HIGHS TDA WL BE A TAD WARMER. ALTHOUGH
DEW POINTS WL STILL MIX OUT SOMEWHAT...BLV THERE WL BE SVRL HOURS OF AT
LEAST BORDERLINE HEAT ADVY CRITERIA (110 DEGS) FOR PORTIONS OF THE
COASTAL BEND. AS A RESULT...WL CONTINUE THE HEAT ADVY AS IT
CURRENTLY STANDS.

MARINE...THE OTHER ISSUE WL BE THE WIND. AN INCREASE IN THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM YDA SHOULD BOOST THE SRN BAYS AND SRN
NEARSHORE WATERS TO MARGINAL SCA LVLS. AS A RESULT...ISSUED AN SCA
FOR THESE AREAS FOR LATE AFTN/EVE TIME FRAME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    98  78  97  77  95  /  10  10  10  10  10
VICTORIA          99  77  98  76  97  /  10  10  10  10  10
LAREDO           105  80 105  78 102  /  10  10  10  10  10
ALICE            102  76 101  75  99  /  10  10  10  10  10
ROCKPORT          93  81  93  79  90  /  10  10  10  10  10
COTULLA          103  77 102  75  99  /  10  10  10  10  10
KINGSVILLE       101  77 100  76  97  /  10  10  10  10  10
NAVY CORPUS       93  82  93  80  92  /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: JIM WELLS...KLEBERG...NUECES...REFUGIO...SAN
     PATRICIO.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM
     BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM CDT SUNDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO
     PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

MB/80...AVIATION





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