Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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251
FXUS63 KGID 242053
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
353 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 332 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

The last of a slug of rain will continue moving northeast over the
next few hours, which was largely aided by mid-level frontogenetic
forcing and a mid-level impulse within southwest flow, north of a
stalled front over Kansas.

This front will slowly sag south, but may still be close enough to
include continued chances, especially in our south/southeast,
with quickly decreasing chances of rain farther to the northwest.
With another perturbation likely tonight and possibly tomorrow,
it would be prudent to keep these chances in the forecast in our
far south.

Instability will generally be just enough to include isolated
thunder, but not enough combined with shear to have severe
weather.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 332 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

We will have continued chances of rain for most of the long term
as we remain within southwest flow with repeated impulses and
shortwave troughs moving through. The most significant shortwave
trough will be Friday night, and has been repeatedly forecast as
our best shot at some rain. Still not out of the question for some
severe weather, but instability will be relatively weak and shear
will be potential near 30 kts, as it appears now for Friday night.
We continue to see a mild warming trend to near normal
temperatures as the long term forecast unfolds.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1250 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Thunderstorm activity should remain south and east of the
terminals and wind speeds should diminish toward sunset. VFR
conditions are expected.

&&

.GID Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Heinlein
LONG TERM...Heinlein
AVIATION...Heinlein



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