Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 260441
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1141 PM CDT Sat Oct 25 2014

...06z Aviation Forecast Update...

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Monday)
Issued at 328 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

An upper level ridge that is currently over the plains will
continue to slide east and over the region on Sunday. Southerly
winds will increase and be breezy on both Sunday and Monday. Wind
gust up to 30 mph will be possible both days across mainly
southeastern Kansas and the western Ozarks both afternoons.

Highs will be slightly warmer Sunday than those occurring this
afternoon, as they warm into the middle 80s with the ridge
overhead. The ridge will then start to slide east of the area on
Monday as an upper level trough pushes into the plains.
Temperatures will still be well above normal as they warm into the
upper 70s to lower 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 328 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

The upper level trough and a surface cold front will push to the
southeast through the area late Monday evening into Tuesday.
Showers are expected to develop along and behind the front as it
pushes through the region. There will be enough instability for
some embedded rumbles of thunder within the showers. No severe
weather is expected. The rain will push south of the area Tuesday
afternoon.

A more seasonable airmass for late October will spread into the
region behind the front for the middle portions of the week. Highs
in the 60s and lows in the 40s can be expected Tuesday through
Thursday.

Another upper level trough will push through the region late in
the week into next weekend. At this time not expected much in the
way of any rain with this system as there will not be a lot of
moisture to work with. This system is expected to bring an even
cooler airmass to the region for next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1131 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

Mostly VFR conditions will prevail through Sunday evening. The
only minor change with this TAF update is to include a TEMPO group
from 10z to 14z in the morning for some MVFR 5sm visibilities
potential. Skies will remain clear through tomorrow night with
southerly winds becoming somewhat gusty for JLN and SGF midday to
afternoon on Sunday.


&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 328 PM CDT SAT OCT 25 2014

Record high temperatures this weekend:

           10/25      10/26
         Today(Sat)    Sun

SGF       85/1939    86/1891
JLN       87/1944    87/1950
UNO       83/1952    84/1950
VIH       83/1902    84/1952

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Griffin
CLIMATE...Wise






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