Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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366
FXUS64 KSHV 301936
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
236 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Squall line moved east of MS river this mrng, and lingering lgt
rain and drizzle coming to and end with clouds also poised to exit
eastern cwa by early this eve, although a few wraparound clouds
may linger across Red River valley eastward into sw AR until later
this eve. Upper low over movg into se KS will move quickly into
upper MS river valley of IA/IL by Mon mrng and into lower Great
Lakes Mon eve. Dry slot sw-w winds may still gather steam for next
couple of hours, warranting continuation of lwa for western and
northern cwa until 7 pm expiration time, with winds partially
decoupling in drying airmass to 5 to 10 mph overnight, before
picking back up to 10 to 15 mph under sunny skies Monday.
Dewpoints falling well into the 40s with some upper 30s dewpoints
possible tonight into Monday. Moisture to increase late Tue as
upper trough quickly digs swd into area and closes off Wed, with
heavy rainfall amounts possible, especially LA portions. Svr wx
not anticipated as instability appears to remain elevated with
this system. Precip to begin clearing out after passage of 850 mb
front, trailing sfc front, by midday Thursday. Deep n-nw flow
behind this system which will continue thru the wknd, thus dry
extended fcst with seasonally cool temps expected./07/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1226 PM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017/

AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected across area terminals through the next 24
hours. Overcast high clouds to gradually diminish from the west
through the afternoon allowing for mostly clear skies areawide
around sunset. Southwest winds 10 knots to increase to 15 to 20
knots with higher gusts this afternoon before becoming around 10
knots after 01/00Z. Otherwise, southwest winds around 15 knots
with higher gusts again expected on Monday. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  49  79  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  51  78  55  85 /  10   0   0   0
DEQ  42  75  50  82 /   0   0   0  10
TXK  46  75  54  84 /   0   0   0  10
ELD  47  76  53  84 /  10   0   0  10
TYR  47  79  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  47  79  56  86 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  48  84  57  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ARZ050-051-
     059>061-070>072.

LA...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for LAZ001>003-
     010-011.

OK...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ077.

TX...Lake Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ096-097-
     108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153.

&&

$$



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