Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KSHV 281939
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
239 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Band of convection ongoing across SE TX/SW LA this afternoon in
association with the upper low along the TX coast has continued to
slowly inch nwd over the last several hours, and should make it
into our srn areas by late this afternoon. Sct convection
elsewhere should begin to diminish around or just after sunset.
Have maintained some PoPs into the overnight hours to cover any
lingering convection. Little change is expected through mid week,
as the upper low will continue to drift along the TX Gulf coast
and aid the sea breeze in bringing convection to our region each
afternoon.

The Gulf low is expected to weaken and move into the Rio Grande
Valley by midweek, ending its influence on our region. However, a weak,
slow-moving cold front will approach the region late Wed into Thu,
as a broad upper trof swings into the mid MS Valley region. This
will provide some additional chances for shwrs/tstms through the
end of the work week and may help keep our temps from creeping
upwards too much.

The upper ridge looks to begin to reinforce itself over the region
as we move into next weekend, which will reduce our chances for
aftn convection and send our temps back into the mid and possibly
upper 90s. We have enjoyed a nice reprieve from the heat this
month, but unfortunately summer is not over yet. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1250 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016/

AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail across the ArkLaTex through this
evening. However...isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms are starting to develop...and will continue to
develop through 00z. These showers and thunderstorms will likely
impact the tafs sites periodically through 03z...with local mvfr
or ifr conditions possible in heavier showers and thunderstorms.
Although the thunderstorm activity will decrease after
sunset...however...some shower may linger through the overnight
hours. Palmer

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  92  74  92  74 /  40  30  30  20
MLU  93  74  95  74 /  30  20  20  10
DEQ  91  73  92  73 /  30  20  20  10
TXK  90  73  92  74 /  30  20  20  10
ELD  93  73  93  74 /  20  20  20  10
TYR  88  73  90  73 /  40  30  30  20
GGG  91  73  90  74 /  40  30  30  20
LFK  88  74  89  74 /  60  40  30  20

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.