Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 291107
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
607 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

...12Z Aviation Update...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 245 AM CDT Mon Aug 29 2016

It will be very similar today like it was yesterday with not much
overall change in the weather pattern. Very warm and humid weather
will continue again today with a handful of scattered showers and
thunderstorms developing again by this afternoon. Today looks like
the warmest day this week with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s
possible.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 245 AM CDT Mon Aug 29 2016

There are some slight changes in the forecast for the end of the
week. The latest forecast guidance show increasing chances for
scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon through
Wednesday afternoon. Guidance is a more aggressive on a shortwave
moving across the Midwest and Ozarks Region by midweek along with
a Canadian cold front moving through by late Wednesday. This
feature will bring better rain chances for the area Tuesday
afternoon and the best potential on Wednesday. Severe weather is
not expected but can`t rule out a strong storm or two.

Forecast models have also become more aggressive on the push of a
cooler and drier airmass following this cold front passage late
Wednesday night. The upper level flow is sharper with a north to
south flow over the region and a Canadian surface high pressure
moving in for the end of the week. We will have northeast winds at
the surface Thursday through Friday night. Guidance shows highs in
the upper 70s to lower 80s for the end of the week and overnight
temperatures down in the middle to upper 50s with lower humidity.
A touch of Fall for the start of meteorological Fall on Thursday!
There are no rain chances for the Thursday through Saturday time
frame. Warmer temperatures and humidity begin to return by late in
the weekend with slight chances of rain again by next Sunday or
Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 604 AM CDT Mon Aug 29 2016

VFR conditions can be expected today across the region. Isolated
afternoon thunderstorms are expected, though coverage will be very
limited. Any thunderstorm activity that does develop should
dissipate by early evening.

Winds will be light and easterly through the period.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Boxell



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