Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 011957

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
257 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun May 1 2016

An upper level trough is currently located across Iowa this
afternoon. This trough will slowly push southeast through the
region through Monday, as a secondary trough dives south through
the area Monday night into Tuesday.

Clouds will continue to increase from north to south through
tonight as the trough slides southeast. A few light showers will
be possible at times tonight and Monday. Rainfall amounts will be
on the light side with a trace to a few hundredths occurring
across locations that see rainfall.

Cooler conditions will spread into the area early this week. Highs
on Monday will only warm to around the 60 degree mark, with some
locations remaining in the upper 50s. Lows Monday night will drop
into the lower 40s as the cooler air mass and surface high
pressure is over the region. Highs on Tuesday will be slightly
warming than Monday, but still temperatures will only warm into
the middle 60s, as lows drop into the middle to upper 40s Tuesday

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Sunday)
Issued at 256 PM CDT Sun May 1 2016

An upper level ridge will build east across the plains during the
middle of the week then over the region late in the week into
early next weekend. This will allow a warming trend to occur as
highs return to the lower 70s on Wednesday, with temperatures
warming into the upper 70s to the lower 80s by Saturday.

An upper level low will then track east across the southwestern
U.S then into the plains late this weekend into early next week.
As this system approaches from the west, thunderstorm chances
will return to the area late next weekend.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)

Pilots flying in and out of the southwest Missouri airports can
expect VFR conditions this afternoon and evening. However, some
lower ceilings will be possible late tonight. We could even
experience some IFR ceiling heights.

Otherwise look for a cold front to shift through bringing
northerly winds by this evening and tonight. No precipitation is
expected over the next 24 hours.

Safe Travels.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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