Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 060437
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1137 PM CDT THU MAY 5 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LOW POSITIONED OVER THE CAROLINAS THIS EVENING. A VERTICALLY
STACKED NORTHERLY FLOW KEEPING CONDITIONS ON THE COOL SIDE. CLOUD
COVER...ALSO NOTED ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS AND IS
KEEPING A MOSTLY CLOUDY SKY ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN TWO THIRDS OF
THE MID STATE. THE TREND WILL BE FOR THESE CLOUDS TO DECREASE BUT
IT MAY TAKE A FEW HOURS BEFORE THAT REALLY HAPPENS. THUS...WILL
NOTCH UP THE INITIAL CLOUD COVER AND INTERPOLATE TOWARD A MOSTLY
CLEAR NIGHT. WILL THEN REISSUE ZONES. OTW...REMAINDER OF FCST IN
GOOD SHAPE. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

CLOUD COVERAGE EROSION HAS OCCURRED QUICKER THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT
AT CKV/BNA...AND WITH BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE INFLUENCES SFC/ALOFT
BUILDING INTO MID STATE REGION...VFR/SKC CONDITIONS EXPECTED CKV/BNA
THRU 07/06Z. AS FOR CSV...LINGERING MOISTURE SHOULD RESULT IN AT LEAST
SOME PERIODIC MVFR CEILINGS...THRU 06/14Z...WITH MVFR VSBYS POSSIBLE
BY 06/08Z AND IFR VSBYS BY 06/10Z. ANY LINGERING CLOUDINESS/FOG SHOULD
DISSIPATE BY 06/14Z...AND WITH ABOVE MENTIONED BUILDING RIDGING
INFLUENCES...VFR/SKC CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT CSV THRU 07/06Z ALSO.
SFC WINDS THRU 07/06Z WILL BE GENERALLY NW/N 5-10KTS.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION........31
LONG TERM..................21



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