Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLIX 012119
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
419 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON)...

EXTENSION OF BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL SPELL DRIER
AND WARMER WEATHER IN THE NEAR TERM. FOR THURSDAY...ONLY ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE MOST LIKELY AREA BEING COASTAL
MISSISSIPPI AS A SHORTWAVE IMPULSE DROPS INTO THE SOUTHEAST US.
TEMPERATURES BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE A DEGREE OR TWO
HIGHER THAN NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...

WEAK IMPULSES OF ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
WILL SPARK SOME THUNDERSTORMS BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON. POPS WILL BE IN THE 30 TO 40
PERCENT RANGE. WITH SOME MORE CLOUDS OVER THE WEEKEND...THIS WILL
BRING TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN TO SEASONAL LEVELS TO AROUND 90
DEGREES.

AS WE HEAD INTO THE NEXT WORK WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE ROCKIES WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ONTO THE PLAINS BRINGING
HIGHER HEIGHTS AND HOTTER AND DRIER WEATHER. TEMPERATURES THE
FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE IN THE LOW 90S IN MANY LOCATIONS
AND POPS WILL BE 30% OR LESS.

ANSORGE

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY UNDERWAY WITH SOME CONVECTION ERUPTING
ON GULF BREEZE ADVANCEMENT IN MOISTURE RICH AIRMASS. WENT CLOSE TO
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS AND HRRR GUIDANCE TO TIME LIKELY CONVECTIVE
IMPACTS AT TERMINALS...HANDLED WITH TEMPO GROUPS FOR 2-3 HOUR
DURATIONS THIS AFTERNOON. GUST POTENTIAL IN THE 30-40KT
RANGE...PRIMARILY WITH THE EARLIER ONSET CELLS...THOUGH OTHERS MAY
PULSE TO THESE LEVELS WITH INTERSECTING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND
INTERACTIONS WITH LAKE BREEZE THROUGH ABOUT 21Z.

24/RR

&&

.MARINE...

THE EXTENSION OF THE BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE
GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. WIND
DIRECTION WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST OR SOUTH WITH
SPEEDS UNDER 15 KNOTS. WAVES HEIGHTS WILL GENERALLY BE 1 TO 2
FEET WITH 3 FEET OCCURRING AT TIMES.

ANSORGE

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE....BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ON MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM RED
             RIVER LANDING TO BATON ROUGE.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY
         ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE RISK SVR AND/OR DIRECT
         TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  72  92  72  92 /  20  10  10  10
BTR  73  93  73  93 /  10  10  10  10
ASD  75  92  75  92 /  20  10  10  10
MSY  75  92  76  92 /  10  10  10  10
GPT  76  90  77  90 /  20  20  10  10
PQL  75  90  75  91 /  20  20  10  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.