Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 080218
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
918 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.UPDATE...FIRST LINE OF STORMS THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLIER IS SOON
TO EXIT THE MID STATE WITH A SECOND LINE OF STORMS NOW CLOSING IN
ON THE NASHVILLE METRO AREA. MOST OF THE EVENING`S ACTIVITY IS
CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN HALF OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE, AS EXPECTED, AS
A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS SITUATED JUST TO OUR NW. HRRR
CONTINUES TO SHOW NUMEROUS SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS THE SAME AREA
OVERNIGHT, SO WILL KEEP LIKELY POP`S IN FOR THE NORTHERN HALF THE
REMAINDER OF TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 755 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015/

AVIATION UPDATE...STORMS ARE MOVING THROUGH MIDDLE TENNESSEE THIS
EVENING, SOME OF WHICH CONTAIN STRONG WINDS. RADAR SHOWING
SEVERAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES, AND WE HAVE RECEIVED SEVERAL REPORTS
OF MAINLY SUB- SEVERE WINDS GUSTS. LOOK FOR THE CONVECTION TO
DIMINISH TO SOME EXTENT AS WE LOSE THE DAYTIME HEATING, BUT WITH A
SURFACE FRONT SO CLOSE TO OUR NORTH, SHOWERS MAY CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT. WINDS SHOULD STAY UP ENOUGH TO STAVE OFF RADIATION FOG.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 403 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WILL BREAK OUT A LATE AFTERNOON ZONE GROUPING TO DEAL WITH
SHWRS/TSTMS MOVING INTO MID STATE. OTHERWISE...WENT CLOSE
TO REASONING OF MORNING SUITE OF FORECAST PRODUCTS AND
FORECAST REASONING KEEPING SHWRS AND TSTMS IN THE FORECAST FOR
TONIGHT THRU THU NIGHT WITH MAINLY ISO SHWRS/TSTMS EXPECTED
AND NEAR SEASONAL TEMPS. LOOK FOR UPPER LEVEL RIDGING INFLUENCES
TO BUILD INTO THE REGION LATER IN THE WORK WEEK...OVER THIS
WEEKEND...AND INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK...ALLOWING FOR
A DRYING BUT WARMING TREND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      88  73  90  73 /  40  40  30  10
CLARKSVILLE    85  72  87  72 /  60  60  40  20
CROSSVILLE     84  70  84  70 /  20  40  30  10
COLUMBIA       91  72  91  72 /  40  40  20  10
LAWRENCEBURG   90  72  90  71 /  20  20  20  10
WAVERLY        88  72  89  72 /  60  60  30  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

ROSE


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