Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 230527
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1127 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Updated various elements this evening to match current obs and
trends. Surface low is just off to the southeast of the area, and
looks to slowly travel eastward across northern GA tonight and
during the day Monday. Model consensus has best chances for precip
over the Plateau and southeast counties through the overnight
hours, with some trailing showers possible rotating around the
surface low for the rest of the area. Rain chances will linger
into the morning hours and possibly into the early afternoon but
mainly be confined to the east as the upper low moves towards the
coast.

Models also want to ramp winds up overnight with the surface
pressure gradient strengthening after 06Z through 12Z. Put in
sustained winds 15 to 25 mph and gusts to 35 mph mainly across the
I-65 and I-24 corridors. Winds look to peak around daybreak and
start calming down through the day on Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Rains are finally starting to rotate around the upper low
situated to the southeast of Middle TN. This means lowered cigs
and vis for KBNA/KCSV for the next several hours. KCSV will likely
be into the late morning hours for conditions begin to improve.

The biggest story is likely to be the wind. A strong northerly
wind will kick up this evening with sustained winds of 15-20 kts
and gusts close to 30 kts. These winds are expected to persist
throughout the overnight hours and while they`ll relax a little in
the morning, it will still be breezy with a little more of a
northwesterly fetch.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until noon CST Monday FOR Bedford-Cannon-Cheatham-
Clay-Coffee-Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Dickson-Fentress-Giles-
Grundy-Hickman-Houston-Humphreys-Jackson-Lawrence-Lewis-Macon-
Marshall-Maury-Montgomery-Overton-Perry-Pickett-Putnam-Robertson-
Rutherford-Smith-Stewart-Sumner-Trousdale-Van Buren-Warren-Wayne-
White-Williamson-Wilson.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......Barnwell
AVIATION........Unger


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