Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 242052
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
352 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.SHORT TERM...ANOTHER REALLY BEAUTIFUL AFTERNOON IN PROGRESS
ACROSS THE MID STATE, WITH 3 PM TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 60S TO
LOWER 70S.

STILL EXPECT A DRY COLD FRONT TO SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA ON
SATURDAY, WITH NOTHING MORE THAN SOME SCATTERED CLOUDS. OUR BIG
ANTICIPATED WARM-UP WILL BEGIN, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 70S
AREA-WIDE.

SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPS ON SUNDAY AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER
THE MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES
INTO TUESDAY, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY PUSHING
INTO THE LOWER 80S OVER MANY AREAS WEST OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU
SUNDAY AND MONDAY, WITH SOME MID 80S POSSIBLE OVER OUR MOST
WESTERN SECTIONS ON MONDAY.

COLD FRONT STILL EXPECTED TO SWEEP INTO OUR AREA ON TUESDAY,
BRINGING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND SOME GUSTIER SOUTH WINDS. THERE
WILL BE AT LEAST A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...STILL LOOKS LIKE COLD FRONT WILL SAG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD
ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY, WITH A BAND OF POST-
FRONTAL CLOUDS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS LIKELY TO LINGER INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY, ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
SECTIONS. GFS IS STILL SLOWER THAN THE ECMWF, ALTHOUGH THE LATEST
GFS EVEN PUSHES THE SURFACE FRONT EAST OF THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU
BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. BOTH GFS AND ECMWF, KICK A DECENT SHORTWAVE
EASTWARD ACROSS OUR NECK OF THE WOODS ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT, DEEPENING AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO RIVER
VALLEYS AND BRINGING ANOTHER SHOT OF COOL WEATHER LATE IN THE
EXTENDED PERIOD. THIS WILL PROBABLY BE THE "KICKER" THAT FINALLY
CLEARS OUT THE SHOWERS OVER OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES NEXT THURSDAY.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      47  77  53  80 /   0   0   0   0
CLARKSVILLE    46  77  50  80 /   0   0   0   0
CROSSVILLE     42  71  49  73 /   0   0   0   0
COLUMBIA       44  77  51  79 /   0   0   0   0
LAWRENCEBURG   45  78  52  81 /   0   0   0   0
WAVERLY        47  78  51  80 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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