Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KSHV 251949 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
249 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

.UPDATE...
SCT showers and TSTMS currently developing over NE LA and SE AR so
will update text and gridded forecasts to account for the remainder
of this Wednesday afternoon. /VIII./

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 219 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016/

DISCUSSION...
One more day of quiet conditions expected through late Thursday
morning before SCT showers and TSTMS spread from W to E across the
forecast area for Thursday evening through Saturday morning.

Seasonably strong short wave trough to move SW to NE from the Four
Corners area through the central US through Saturday morning. Expect
numerous showers and TSTMS to develop with this trough. The GFS model
shows some bullseyes of very heavy rainfall across E TX but the ECMWF
model shows lighter totals. Until confidence increases in the storm
timing and rainfall totals...will not issue a Flash Flood Watch at
this time.

Appears Sunday should provide a break from the weather...but another
trough to traverse the area for Memorial Day through Tuesday morning
with SCT to numerous showers and TSTMS expected.

The bottom line for the upcoming holiday weekend is unsettled
conditions with the exception of most of Sunday. Area travelers and
vacationers need to be mindful of developing weather conditions.

Unfortunately...SW flow continues for the middle of next week through
the first days of June with rain in the forecast as another trough
passage is progged.  /VIII./

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1209 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016/

AVIATION...
VFR conditions to prevail through the afternoon and much of the
overnight hours. Sct convection will be possible once again
mainly during the afternoon/early evening, but limited coverage
will keep mention out of the 18Z TAFs attm. Stratus is expected
to return late tonight/Thursday morning, and will likely
lift/scatter out by around mid to late morning. Otherwise, gusty
sly winds are expected to diminish some overnight, but increase
once again to between 8-13 kts after sunrise. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  84  71  81 /  20  40  50  70
MLU  73  86  72  84 /  20  40  30  40
DEQ  72  82  69  77 /  20  50  60  80
TXK  73  83  70  79 /  20  50  60  80
ELD  73  85  70  82 /  20  50  40  60
TYR  74  82  71  79 /  20  50  60  80
GGG  74  83  71  80 /  20  50  60  70
LFK  75  83  73  82 /  20  50  40  70

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.

&&

$$

08


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.