Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KSHV 030421
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1121 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR WEATHER WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED DAYTIME CUMULUS BETWEEN 4 AND 6 KFT.
ALSO...EXPECT A BRIEF PERIOD OF VISIBILITY BETWEEN 3 AND 5 MILES
AROUND SUNRISE AT A FEW LOCATIONS. /14/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 959 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER NEAR PERFECT NIGHT ON TAP WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND NEAR
CALM CONDITIONS...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO EVENTUALLY FALL OFF
INTO THE 60S ONCE AGAIN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ASIDE FROM SOME
PATCHY FOG FORMING NEAR DAYBREAK...NO FORECAST CONCERNS TO NOTE.
THE CURRENT PACKAGE HANDLES ALL ELEMENTS WELL AND NO UPDATES ARE
PLANNED AT THIS TIME. /19/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 319 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
ONLY A SCATTERED CU FIELD AND LOW TO MID 80S TEMPERATURES TO
CONTEND WITH THIS AFTERNOON...A STARK CONTRAST TO THE LAST FEW
WEEKS. OUR REGION REMAINS SANDWICHED UPPER RIDGE ANCHORED OVER
THE WRN U.S. AND THE CUT-OFF LOW OVER ERN TN.

THE RIDGE IS FCST TO CONTINUE TO NOSE EWD THROUGH THE WORK
WEEK...FORCING THE UPPER LOW EWD. THIS ESSENTIALLY SPELLS MORE
FAIR WEATHER FOR THE REGION AT LEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...
WITH ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...NO RAIN...AND THE RIDGE INCREASING ITS
INFLUENCE ON OUR AREA...TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO INCH UPWARDS
THROUGHOUT THE FCST PD. HAVE SAYED VERY CLOSE TO GUIDANCE...BUT
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT TEMPS FOR THE WEEKEND COULD BE UNDERDONE. THAT
SAID...WE COULD BE SHIFTING OUR FOCUS FROM FLOODING/SEVERE WEATHER
TO HEAT-RELATED PRODUCTS BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

WE MAY SEE SOME SLIGHT CHANCES FOR RAIN CREEP IN BY MONDAY...AS
DISTURBANCES IN NW FLOW TO OUR E ROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE
RIDGE. HOWEVER...MODELS HAVE NOT SHOWN MUCH RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY
WITH THIS FEATURE...SO THE FORECAST IS LIKELY TO REMAIN
CONSERVATIVE. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  66  88  69  90 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  64  86  66  88 /   0   0   0  10
DEQ  64  86  66  88 /   0   0  10   0
TXK  65  86  67  88 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  62  86  64  89 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  67  87  69  88 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  66  87  67  89 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  68  89  69  90 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.