Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 281659
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281658
NJZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-DEZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-281900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1417
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1158 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY

VALID 281658Z - 281900Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THE ISSUANCE OF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED SOON.

DISCUSSION...CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AMIDST A MOIST AND
DESTABILIZING AIR MASS. WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S...DIABATIC SFC
HEATING IS CONTRIBUTING TO MODERATE TO STRONG DESTABILIZATION AMIDST
25-35 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR. MULTICELL CLUSTERS...AND PERHAPS A
FEW TRANSIENT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...WITH DMGG WIND GUSTS ARE
ANTICIPATED. THE RISK FOR A TORNADO COULD EXIST...ESPECIALLY FOR
CONVECTION INTERACTING WITH A NW/SE-ORIENTED BOUNDARY ACROSS PARTS
OF THE DELMARVA REGION.

..COHEN/DIAL.. 07/28/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...

LAT...LON   39337825 39917716 40057516 39597441 38597500 37627606
            37627824 38307921 39337825




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