Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Green Bay, WI

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000
FXUS63 KGRB 022341
AFDGRB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
641 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

UPDATED AVIATION PORTION FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND MONDAY
ISSUED AT 358 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL END THIS EVENING AS
COLD FRONT EXITS THE AREA. CLEARING EXPECTED TONIGHT THAT LASTS
INTO EARLY MONDAY. CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW AND WEAK DISTURBANCE SHOULD
PRODUCE SOME AFTERNOON SHOWERS IN THE NORTH MONDAY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD RETURN TO NORMAL TONIGHT AND BE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN USUAL MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
ISSUED AT 358 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK
BEFORE GOING THEIR OWN WAYS.

CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING CLOUDS TO THE AREA...ESPECIALLY
NEAR THE UPPER MICHIGAN BORDER...EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD THERE
COULD EVEN BE A FEW SHOWERS DURING THAT TIME BUT HAVE TRIMMED
POPS TO FIT ADJACENT GRIDS AND HAVE LOW OR NO POPS FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK. BLENDED MODEL SOLUTION FOR MID TO LATE IN THE
WEEK WAS LEFT AS IS...RESULTING IN SOME SHOWER/THUNDER CHANCES
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE WORK WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE
ISSUED AT 641 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

A STRONG COLD FRONT HAS MOVED SOUTH OF THE TAF SITES EARLY THIS
EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS CONTINUE TO POP UP BEHIND THE
FRONT...WHICH MAY IMPACT RHI. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR OVERNIGHT AT MOST
PLACES EXCEPT FOR MAYBE FAR NORTHERN WISCONSIN. THEN AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CAUSE CLOUDS TO BUILD BY LATE MONDAY
MORNING AND SCATTERED SHOWERS TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHERN
WISCONSIN...POTENTIALLY IMPACTING RHI. BEST CHANCES OF SHOWERS TO
OCCUR DURING MIDDLE TO LATE AFTERNOON.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM.....RDM
LONG TERM......MG
AVIATION.......MPC


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