Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 272345

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
645 PM CDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 327 PM CDT Sat Aug 27 2016

Satellite and observations show sunny skies across the forecast area
and temperatures have warmed to around 80 degrees.

The rest of the afternoon and evening should continue to be mostly
clear. There is a weak upper level wave that will approach the area
later tonight. Have kept some low PoPs for the far south since there
could be a few showers and thunderstorms developing as the upper
wave approaches. A few of the thunderstorms could linger into Sunday
morning. Then the differences in the models continue to be noticed.
Most of the models are mostly dry during the day on Sunday, but
there are a couple that continue to bring another wave into the area
and have precipitation across the area. Have kept some low PoPs
across the area for Sunday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 327 PM CDT Sat Aug 27 2016

There continues to be weak flow across the area. The weak flow has
several mainly weak waves that move through the area and each of
them bring a chance for thunderstorms. Inconsistencies in the models
do not lead to a lot of confidence in the forecast. Each model has
slightly different timing and strength of the systems as they move

At this time, some of the stronger waves that have a little more
consistency in the models is during the Sunday night to Tuesday
night. Have the best PoPs during this time frame. Temperatures will
be fairly seasonal.

Wednesday through Saturday there is a weak ridge that moves through
the area and then there is a turn to southwest flow again. The waves
through this period are a little weaker and less defined so have
lower PoPs.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 643 PM CDT Sat Aug 27 2016

VFR conditions are expected. Some model solutions place some
stratus nearby, especially near KGRI, so this bears some watching.
Majority consensus keeps us VFR, however, with mainly mid to upper
level sky cover, if much at all.


.GID Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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