Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

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000
FXUS66 KMTR 301143
AFDMTR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
443 AM PDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY
WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...AS OF 3:10 AM PDT SATURDAY...CLOUDS FROM FORMER
HURRICANE MARIE PROVIDED SOME BEAUTIFUL SUNSET SHOTS LAST NIGHT AND
ARE CONTINUING TO KEEP HIGHER LEVEL CLOUDS STREAMING ACROSS OUR
CWA. SATELLITE FOG PRODUCT SHOWS AT THIS TIME VIRTUALLY NO FOG
FORMATION ACROSS OUR ENTIRE AREA, SO HAVE ISSUED A MINOR FORECAST
UPDATE TO REMOVE IT FROM ALMOST ALL SPOTS AWAY FROM THE COAST.
SUNNY SKIES ARE FORECAST BY LATE IN THE MORNING WITH TEMPS VERY
CLOSE TO FRIDAY -- MID 60S TO UPPER 70S AT THE COAST WITH UPPER
70S TO LOWER 90S FOR MOST INLAND SPOTS. LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY IN THE EVENING AS SURFACE
GRADIENTS INCREASE (SFO-TONAPAH GOES OVER 6 MB).

QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY AND LABOR DAY AS A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE OUT IN THE PACIFIC BUILDS TO CALIFORNIA AS A
LONGWAVE TROF TO OUR EAST PROGRESSES INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS. BOTH
DAYS WILL FEATURE TEMPERATES CLOSE TO WHAT WE WILL SEE TODAY WITH
A FEW DEGREES OF COOLING INLAND AS 850 MB TEMPS COOL 1-2C. LOOKS
LIKE NEARLY PERFECT WEATHER FOR OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES.

QUIET WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE
MAIN STORM TRACK WELL TO OUR NORTH. MODELS DO BRING WHAT IS LEFT
OF HURRICANE MARIE OVER TO OUR CWA, HOWEVER CURRENTLY VERY GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT ALL IT WILL LIKELY PRODUCE IS JUST HIGH CLOUDS.
KEPT POPS NEAR ZERO FOR ALL DAYS.
&&

.AVIATION...AS OF 4:30 AM PDT SATURDAY...MORNING TEMPERATURES ARE
RUNNING A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY AND AS A RESULT
STRATUS HAS YET TO FORM IN THE SFO BAY AREA. IN ADDITION...LOWER
VSBYS HAVE BEEN NOTED AT MRY AND SNS. MODELS FORECAST COOLING AT
850 MB DURING THE MORNING HOURS WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR SOME STRATUS
DEVELOPMENT IN THE SFO BAY AREA BUT MAINLY IN THE EAST BAY. ONLY
PATCHY STRATUS WILL AFFECT THE SFO APPROACH THROUGH 16Z.

VICINITY OF KSFO...VFR EXPECTED BUT THERE IS A CHANCE OF BRIEF
IFR CIGS THROUGH 16Z.

KSFO BRIDGE APPROACH...SIMILAR TO KSFO.

MONTEREY BAY AREA TERMINALS...LIFR FOR CIGS AND VSBYS THROUGH 16Z.
EARLY CLEARING IS EXPECTED AS THE STRATUS IS AREAL IN COVERAGE.

&&

.MARINE...AS OF 3:10 AM PDT SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL BRING MODERATE NORTHWEST WINDS
THROUGH MONDAY. WINDS WILL DECREASE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS
THERMAL TROUGH SHIFTS TO THE COAST.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
     .TDAY...SCA...MONTEREY BAY FROM 1 PM
             SCA...PIGEON PT TO PT PINOS 0-10 NM FROM 1 PM
             SCA...PT ARENA TO PT REYES 0-10 NM
             SCA...PT REYES TO PIGEON PT 0-10 NM
             SCA...PT PINOS TO PT PIEDRAS BLANCAS 0-10 NM
             SCA...PT ARENA TO PT REYES 10-60 NM
             SCA...PT REYES TO PIGEON PT 10-60 NM
             SCA...PIGEON PT TO PT PINOS 10-60 NM
             SCA...PT PINOS TO PT PIEDRAS BLANCAS 10-60 NM

&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST: BELL
AVIATION/MARINE: W PI

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